Here are the current college basketball articles and how to tips from Maddux Sports.
There are good reasons to bet on college basketball in the first month of the season in November, and good reasons not to bet on it then. In another article we looked at five reasons why you would want to bet on these games. Here I want to look at the other side - six reasons why betting on college basketball in the first month of the season may not be the best idea.
Non-conference college basketball is great for one big reason - it means we are closer to conference play and tournament season, and both of those are brilliant. Betting on the non-conference season can be fruitful for bettors. If those bettors aren’t careful, though, the non-conference schedule is littered with traps to fall into - traps that could prove very costly. Here are six college basketball non-conference traps that you’ll want to be aware of so you can avoid them:
Early in the college basketball season a lot of bettors won’t be familiar with what to expect from most teams because they haven’t seen them play or read much about them. That means that many of those bettors will rely heavily on the preseason and early season rankings to judge which teams are good and which teams aren’t. That’s obviously not the best approach. Early in the year the polls are largely determined by reputations and hype because there is little concrete to base things on. If you want to be a successful handicapper, then, you need to be able to separate the teams that are ranked and clearly deserve to be from the ones that shouldn’t be ranked, or which are ranked higher than they deserve. Here are six questions to ask to help determine whether a team deserves the attention they are getting. Incidentally, you could ask the same questions to help determine whether an unranked team isn’t getting enough credit:
Astute college basketball bettors know that they can gain a big edge over the general public by paying attention to the first couple of weeks of college basketball practice in October. Midnight Madness draws some attention in some schools, but after that most bettors are too distracted by the NFL, college football, the World Series and the start of the hockey and NBA seasons to spend too much time worrying about what is going on in the campus gyms around the country. By paying attention to what is going on you can have a far more accurate picture of where teams are at than the public will when the regular season starts, and that advantage can typically extend well into the regular season. Here are six things that you should follow closely in the fall:
A lot of college basketball handicappers tend to think of home court advantage as being relatively static - it will be basically be the same from game to game in the same building. That’s not always the case. There are several different circumstances in which even the most supportive and vocal of crowds can elevate their noise and enthusiasm to a higher level. That can have a big impact both on the excitement their players play with and on the way the officials call the game. Here are six situations in which the crowd could be more of a factor than expected:
College basketball is a great game to bet on. There are an incredible number of games to choose from, information is plentiful and easy to find, and lines - particularly early in the season - are considerably softer than in major pro sports. College basketball doesn’t get nearly as much attention as it deserves before February or March, and that means that bettors are missing out. If you don’t bet the sport regularly outside of tournament time then you really should take a look at it. If you do, here are six common mistakes that college basketball bettors make that you will want to avoid:
Most college basketball gamblers probably know that there is good value to be had in betting on the mid-major conferences. Most bettors probably don’t spend nearly as much time betting on those conferences as they do on the big ones, though. It makes sense - there are a huge number of conferences, and most get barely any national coverage most of the year. Unless you are doing nothing but handicapping college basketball it just isn’t possible for most bettors to keep track of what is going on in every mid-major conference. There is just too much information to process, and you’ll wind up making poor decisions if you try to bet on all of it. There are some really good opportunities out there, though - too good to ignore. The trick, then, is to find ways to find some of those good plays in a way that is manageable. Here are four good tips for dealing effectively with mid-major conferences:
There are some good arguments that can be made for betting on college basketball in November - the first month of the season. There are some good arguments to be made for not betting on the sport at that time as well. So, that’s we’re going to do - we’ll make the arguments for both sides. I’ll make the arguments for betting on college hoops in the first month of the season here, and in another article I’ll tackle the reverse. On this side there are five good arguments to be made:
At the end of every college basketball regular season each conference crowns a champion. For some teams those regular season titles are extremely important and highly motivating. For others, though, it is not a particularly significant motivating factor. Bettors who are able to tell the difference between teams that will elevate their game in pursuit of a conference title down the stretch and those that will keep playing like they have been playing all along can earn valuable insight into where the value might be in key games down the stretch. Here are nine factors to help determine how motivated a team will be by the potential pursuit of a conference championship:
At the start of the college basketball season many teams choose to play an exhibition game or two in an attempt to get ready for their season. These are typically against hopelessly outmatched opponents - often from as low as Division III. If elite teams do play Division I-A opponents then they certainly won’t be good ones. These games aren’t betting opportunities, but hardcore college basketball bettors who are hungry for the season to start can still get pretty excited about them because they are better than nothing. Occasionally something happens in one of these games that will get some national media exposure - either a team wins by an outlandish margin or one loses to an opponent that they have no business losing to. Those types of results can send the public into a frenzy of either excitement or panic. They really shouldn’t these are just exhibition games after all, so they really aren’t a good indicator of what will happen in the regular season. As a general rule it isn’t worthwhile to worry too much about anything that happens in these exhibition games. Looking at it closer, though, here are three factors that definitely should be ignored from these games, and four things that are at least a little interesting:
Near the end of the college basketball regular season in hundreds of gyms across the country one of the great traditions in all of sports happens - Seniors’ Night. After a player has played four or five years with a program and given their heart and soul to it Seniors’ Night gives the team, the fans, and the school a chance to recognize them and thank them for all they have done. The player’s parents and families are typically there, and it can be an emotional and inspiring ceremony. Bettors should pay close attention to Seniors’ Nights as they happen around the country. In some circumstances the festivities can have an impact on the size of the crowd and the impact they make on the team. Here are four factors to consider when determining whether Seniors’ Night could change how the game might play out, and where the value is in betting on the game:
In February of 2012 the New Mexico Lobos were red hot and were quickly becoming regarded as one of the mid-majors that could make some real noise in the NCAA tournament. They had won seven in a row capped by consecutive decisive wins over fellow Mountain West powers San Diego State and UNLV. They were rolling, and the nation was taking note. Then they went out and lost badly to a pretty lousy Colorado State team - a squad that had no business competing with the Lobos. The loss was far from a unique one for a good team, but it was a frustrating one for many bettors. When a good team plays an uncharacteristically weak game it can be perplexing and frustrating - not to mention costly. Bettors who can effectively spot situations where good teams could stumble can be well positioned to avoid bad bets and improve their bottom line. Here are five types of situations that could lead a good team to forget that they are good:
In a perfect world every college basketball team would quietly but steadily improve throughout the season, and would be ready to perform at their peak by the middle of March. Of course, things rarely work out that smoothly. Quite often a team will start to slide just when they could be firing things up. A slump in March is not a disaster, but it certainly could be if it extends into the tournament when a loss is fatal. It’s important for bettors to be able to identify slumping teams that should be able to get back on track and separate them from the teams that are doomed to keep losing. Here are six questions you can ask to help determine which kind of team a slumping squad is:
For many college basketball bettors - especially the more casual ones - the big preseason tournaments mark the first time that they pay attention to the sport. Preseason tournaments like the Maui Invitational or the Old Spice Classic can offer big name showdowns early in the season when most other games just aren’t that interesting. These tournaments can be great betting opportunities for prepared bettors. If bettors are too casual, though, they can make costly mistakes that can put them in a big hole before the season has barely even started. Here are five mistakes to avoid when handicapping preseason tournaments in college basketball:
The profile of the Big Ten - ACC Challenge seems to grow each year. It’s an event that is purely made for TV, but with passing time there have been some rivalries built up, and teams and coaches seem to be more and more invested in winning the challenge for their conference. With the growing profile of the event there is more bettor interest every year, and more potential to make some good money. Bettors who chose to focus on this two day, 12 game event are not only treated to some great basketball action, but also some very good betting opportunities. For the most part these games are just like any other early season college basketball game. There are a few differences, though, and being aware of those differences can give you the edge you need to come out on top. Here are seven factors to consider when looking to cash in on the Challenge:
Every college basketball season we see a couple of top five teams get absolutely crushed in a game. I’m not talking about losing games they should have won, or getting beaten by a few points. I’m talking about an epic beatdown - a 20 or 30 point margin in a game that wasn’t even as close as the score suggests. These games seem to come out of nowhere, and they obviously come as a big surprise to fans and bettors. The challenge for those bettors is to figure out if what happened was just an ugly fluke that really did come from nowhere, or if it was a sign of bigger problems. If you can get that right then you can often find some very nice value because the public struggles to handle these teams and often overreacts. Here are six factors to consider when handicapping how these teams are likely to bounce back from a crushing loss in college basketball:
The schedule for college basketball teams is typically straight forward. Teams start out by playing non-conference games and maybe throw in a preseason tournament. Around Christmas time the non-conference schedule ends and teams head into conference play right up to conference tournament time in late February or early March. Every so often, though, some teams deviate from that schedule a little bit by throwing a non-conference game in the middle of their conference season. There are several reasons they could do it - to highlight a game against a major rival in a different conference, to give their team a break from the strain of conference play, or because it’s the only time a higher profile, and therefore more lucrative, opponent could be fit in, for example. These isolated non-conference games require an adjustment from bettors because they present a different challenge for team than they have become used to in conference play. Here are seven factors for bettors to consider when handicapping these games:
When the college basketball calendar shifts from non-conference play into the conference schedule successful bettors are always on the lookout for teams that could perform in a way that could surprise unprepared bettors. That means that they are looking for teams that are poised to be either notably better or notably worse in conference play than they were when playing their non-conference schedule. There are several different scenarios in which a team can beat expectations or fall short of them. Here are six of those situations to look out for:
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