Week 8 CFB Odds: Virginia Cavaliers at Duke Blue Devils

Virginia at Duke

Time: 11:30 AM CT

Spread: DUK -7

Total: 44.5

Odds c/o 5dimes

The Duke Blue Devils are 5-1 overall but just 1-1 in the ACC. It will seek to improve its conference mark this week as it hosts conference rival Virginia as 7-point favorites. The game will air at 11:30 CT on local TV access and has an over/under of 44.5 points according to NCAA football oddsmakers at 5dimes.

DUKE

Duke’s two conference games have been a 14-31 loss to Virginia Tech and last week’s 28-14 victory over Georgia Tech. The Blue Devils were ranked prior to the loss to the Hokies, but at 5-1 have fallen out of the AP’s top-25 teams now. Daniel Jones has still had a sensational season. The quarterback has thrown for 821 yards on a 68.3 percent completion ratio with eight TDs and two interceptions. He has a passer rating 158.8, and he has rushed 27 times for 45 yards and a touchdown. Running back Deon Jackson leads the team in rushing yardage with 355 yards and five TDs. Brittain Brown has added another 317 yards, while Quentin Harris has rushed 27 times for 145 yards and Marvin Hubbard III has rushed for 118 yards.

The Blue Devil’s top receiver has been Johnathan Lloyd. He has caught 23 passes for 297 yards and four touchdowns. TJ Rahming has added another 279 yards on a team-high 24 catches with four TDs. Duke has scored 10 rushing TDs this year and it has scored 15 via the pass. Davis Koppenhaver is tied for the team lead three-ways with four receiving TDs on his seven total receptions.

The Blue Devils have a balanced attack, but its offense overall is just good, averaging 32.0 points, No. 50 in the nation. Its defense has been the ticket, allowing just 17.7 points per game and ranking No. 20. Though Jones has been accurate, Duke gains just 215.5 yards per game via the pass, and that is a mark that can probably be improved upon, and it will have to be if Duke is to contend in the ACC after already having lost one conference matchup.

UVA

The Virginia Cavaliers secured a big victory in Week 7, knocking off then-No. 16 Miami by a count of 16-13. It was its first matchup against an AP-ranked opponent this season, and a big victory over a conference foe. Virginia is 2-1 in the ACC thus far, but it will be an underdog this week against Duke.

The Cavaliers’ defense was largely behind its 16-13 win over Miami. Jordan Ellis ran for a TD and Virginia held Miami to just 190 passing yards and 146 rushing yards in the game. It was outdriven in managing just 92 passing yards and 139 rushing yards itself. Ellis had 86 yards on his 18 attempts and the touchdown, but quarterback Bryce Perkins threw 12 of 21 with no TDs and three interceptions.

It was not a pretty offensive affair, but the Cavaliers got outstanding defensive performances from Zane Zandier, Charles Snowden and Chris Peace. The trio combined for 24 total tackles and 1.5 sacks. Virginia, though it had just two sacks and three tackles for loss, kept the pressure high the entire game and held Rozier to 170 yards and an interception with no touchdowns. Can it repeat that in Week 8 against Daniel Jones of the Blue Devils?

ATS TRENDS:

Virginia
Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Cavaliers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass. Cavaliers are 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Cavaliers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Duke
Blue Devils are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Blue Devils are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Blue Devils are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Blue Devils are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Blue Devils are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass. Blue Devils are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Blue Devils are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. Blue Devils are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Blue Devils are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Blue Devils are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.

OU TRENDS

Virginia
Over is 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Over is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Under is 12-3-1 in Cavaliers last 16 games in October. Under is 10-4 in Cavaliers last 14 games following a straight up win. Under is 24-11-1 in Cavaliers last 36 conference games.

Duke
Under is 4-0 in Blue Devils last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 9-1 in Blue Devils last 10 conference games. Under is 13-4 in Blue Devils last 17 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Under is 22-8-2 in Blue Devils last 32 games in October. Under is 20-8-1 in Blue Devils last 29 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 10-4 in Blue Devils last 14 games on grass. Under is 5-2 in Blue Devils last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 5-2 in Blue Devils last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 12-5 in Blue Devils last 17 games overall. Under is 7-3 in Blue Devils last 10 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 16-7 in Blue Devils last 23 home games.

HEAD TO HEAD

Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Home team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings. Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Duke.

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