Utah State Aggies vs. Air Force Falcons
Saturday, 9/7/13, 3:30 PM EST
Opening Point Spread: Utah State -7.5
Current Betting Line: Utah State -9
Opening Total: 61
Current Total: 59
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker
Utah State is coming off a disappointing 30-26 setback to the Utah Utes as two-point road underdogs last Thursday, while going OVER the betting total of 52. The Aggies are opening a season with consecutive road games for the first time since 2009, and for the 24th time since 1960. It’s important to point out that the program has won 11 straight conference games, but this will be its first test in the Mountain West, which can’t be ignored when making your college football expert picks Saturday afternoon. Utah State is 17-8 ATS over the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 15-11 in that span.
The Aggies entered the 2013 campaign as the second most experienced team among FBS schools, as they returned 13 seniors and seven juniors who have started games. Utah State hopes to use that experience to its advantage, especially on the offensive line, with a group that entered the year with 115 career starts. First-year head coach Matt Wells is the 11th-youngest to hold that type of position nationally, while being one of 12 leading his alma mater into battle. Junior quarterback Chuckie Keeton completed 31 of 40 passes for 314 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions in Week 1.
Air Force is a conference-best 11-3 in conference openers, but it has lost its last two games in that situation, which is important to consider when looking over the NCAA football betting lines. The Falcons are 3-3 in the second game of the season under head coach Troy Calhoun, as they come off a 38-13 victory over Colgate as 26.5-point home favorites. The school is a dominating 29-9 in Falcon Stadium under Calhun’s watch, including a 5-1 mark during the 2012 campaign. Air Force is 2-5 SU and 4-3 ATS as home underdogs of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.
The Falcons returned just nine starters from last season, including three on offense and five on defense—a number that is fewest among all Mountain West teams. Air Force ranks in the top five nationally in two categories after a week of play, including third among all college football teams in averaging 409 yards on the ground.
Sports bettors will likely back the Aggies due to their 19-7-3 ATS mark on the road versus teams with a winning home record.
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