The Super Bowl picture looks more muddled each and every week. Hopefully this week will help to clarify things, but probably won’t. Sharps and squares have been busy so far, and the opening numbers have been moved around. Visit our NFL Odds page to see how lines have moved and to compare NFL Lines from some of the top sportsbooks in the business. Below are a few intriguing match ups.
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Pittsburgh (-7 ½) vs. Oakland – This has been a strange line. The Pittsburgh Steelers opened as 8 ½ point favorites against the visiting Raiders, and currently, books are listing the game anywhere between 7 and 9 points; 7 ½ seems to be the popular spread. Pittsburgh hasn’t played that well since the return of Ben Roethlisberger. The offense was supposed to make a big leap forward, and with the Steel Curtain playing suffocating defense, the Steelers looked like the early season Super Bowl favorite. But it doesn’t feel that way anymore. Oakland seems to have turned the corner. On both sides of the ball, the Raiders have gotten significantly better. Winning in Pittsburgh would be enough to welcome the Raiders into the AFC playoff race.
Green Bay (-3) at Minnesota – The Packers opened as 2 ½ point road favorites at Minnesota, though sites are currently posting the game at 3 points. These two teams played a great game on Lambeau Field a few weeks ago. Since then, Green Bay has gotten better and Minnesota has teetered on the verge of collapse. Brad Childress is still the coach, for now. Brett Favre has battled through injuries and put an impressive amount of effort into a disastrous season. But if Minnesota can beat the Pack at home, they still have a puncher’s chance of making the playoffs. If not, the season is over.
New England (-3) vs. Indianapolis – A great game is set to go down on the East Coast. The Patriots started as 3 point favorites against the visiting Colts, but the line has moved up to 4 points. New England has somewhat quietly played as well or better than any team this year. They’re coming off a surprising whooping of the Steelers in Pittsburgh. Tom Brady is almost always sharp, and the Pats’ defense is good when it wants to be. Indianapolis has been ravaged by injuries, but Peyton Manning is still having a Pro Bowl season. Until the Colts can have a serviceable rushing game, this team is destined to have problems in big games.
Philadelpia (-3) vs. New York Giants – The Eagles opened as 3 point favorites against the G-Men, and books have stuck with the opening number. Michael Vick has played like an MVP this season. He and the Eagle offense are coming off a nearly flawless effort against Washington. The Giants didn’t have as good of a week. They got their butts kicked at home against the lowly Cowboys. The NFC West is obviously between these two teams, which makes this an important game.
San Diego (-9 ½) vs. Denver – The Monday night game is an AFC West showdown. The Chargers opened as 9 ½ point home favorites against the Broncos, but most sites have moved up to 10 or even 11 points, depending upon the sportsbook. San Diego appears to be hitting their midseason stride. They’re coming off a bye, and in recent weeks, the Chargers haven’t made as many stupid mistakes. After their disastrous start to the season, San Diego is just a game out of first place in the West. Denver smoked Kansas City last week, but overall, the Broncos have had a disappointing season. If Josh McDaniels hopes to keep coaching in the Mile High City, Denver needs to turn it around. I wonder if he wishes he had Jay Cutler and Brandon Marshall.
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