New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks
Sunday, 10/14/12, 4:05 PM EST, TV: CBS
Opening Point Spread: New England -4
Current Betting Line: New England -3
Opening Total: 44
Current Total: 44.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker
New England will hit the road for the fourth time in six weeks when it travels west to face Seattle at CenturyLink Field, as it will serve as Tom Brady’s first-ever visit to the Pacific Northwest in his NFL career. The Patriots have tallied a 5-4 record under head coach Bill Belichick when playing on the West Coast. Last year’s AFC champions have won their last two games, while going OVER the total in three consecutive contests. New England is 9-4 ATS as a road favorite of seven or fewer points, while going above the total in 10 of 14 in that situation.
The Patriots have gone 33-6 in the month of October since the 2003 campaign, which includes a 14-5 record on the road. New England has been incredibly balanced on the offensive end recently, which led directly to tallying 35 first downs in a 31-21 win over the Denver Broncos as 5.5-point home favorites last week, which was actually a franchise record. Offensively, the team has gained 498 rushing yards over the last two games, which is the highest such total in that type of span since 1978.
Seattle knows it’s in for quite a test on the defensive end, but that unit ranks first in the National Football League in allowing just 258.6 yards per game. The Seahawks will be trying to slow down an offense that leads the league in gaining 439.4 yards per contest. There’s no doubt that the pass rush will need to get to Brady, with Chris Clemons and Bruce Irvin combining for 10 sacks on the season, which is the most for any tandem in football. Seattle is 6-0 ATS at home when the total is 42.5 to 45 over the last two-plus seasons.
The Seahawks return home after splitting a pair of road games, as they come off a 16-12 victory over the Carolina Panthers as one-point road underdogs. Seattle has gone OVER the total in all five games this season, while winning the statistical battle in four of those contests. Rookie quarterback Russell Wilson may have taken a step forward last week, throwing for 221 yards after failing to break the 160-yard margin in each of the first four games.
Sports bettors will likely back the Patriots due to their 4-1 ATS mark on the road versus winning home teams, while the Seahawks are 1-5 ATS after allowing less than 150 yards passing.
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