The Cardinals might be the best bet on the entire board with America celebrating its Independence Day.

Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals

Milwaukee put its second-ranked offense on display on Saturday, racking up 19 hits and 12 runs in a blowout win over the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium.  The run total was the most the Brewers’ offense has tallied since June 14.  “Days like this are few and far between for a pitcher of his caliber,” said All-Star outfielder Ryan Braun about putting up such a total against Cardinals ace Chris Carpenter.  The Brewers added two home runs to its NL-leading total of 101, which is third in the majors behind Toronto and Boston.  The Brewers are now 20-22 on the road (+200) and have gone 4-8-1 in series play away from Miller Park.  Milwaukee’s offense has been sparked from the top this season, with Rickie Weeks ranking tops in the majors in home runs (14) and RBI (49) for a leadoff batter.

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The Cardinals may have been sluggish in Game 1 after playing on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball the night before, but expect a better performance with one of their aces taking the hill tonight.

St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers

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A battle of NL Central opponents is featured to close out the week of MLB action.

Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals

Milwaukee is playing the sixth game of its current seven-game road trip to Florida (1-3) and St. Louis (0-2).  The Brewers placed themselves in an early hole by allowing four runs in the first inning in a 5-4 loss to the Cardinals, as the team has allowed 49 runs in the first frame this season – the most of any inning.  “There’s been a bunch of games when we’ve been behind,” Brewers manager Ken Macha said.  “I’ve got no answers for that.”  The team is getting use to the idea of scheduling left-handed starters in 2010, with Sunday’s matchup representing the 30th game they’ve scheduled a southpaw against the opposition.  This represents a challenge against a Cardinals’ club that is 9-6 versus lefties this season (+80), but the total is 5-9-1 O/U in those games.

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The Cardinals-Cubs end a three-game set on this holiday weekend, with a series victory on the line at Wrigley.

St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs

St. Louis will try to even up its record with the final game of its current six-game road trip (2-3), while also picking up a winning series at Wrigley Field for the first time in over three years.  The Cardinals’ lineup was dominated on Saturday, allowing Cubs SP Carlos Silva to tally a career-high 11 strikeouts en-route to a 5-0 victory.  “He was on his game,” Cards outfielder Ryan Ludwick said.  “He threw that changeup in any count.”  With a pair of roster moves on Saturday, the pitching staff will carry 13 pitchers until at the upcoming off-day on Thursday.  The Cardinals have compiled a 5-2 record when playing on Sunday’s this year (+240), but are 28-30 over the last three years overall (-870).

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One of baseball’s biggest rivalries kicks off the Memorial Weekend at Wrigley Field.

St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs

St. Louis avoided a sweep in San Diego on Thursday evening, picking up an 8-3 victory over the Padres at Petco Park.  The Cardinals had scored just one run in the first two games of the series, but broke out in a big way in the series finale, led by star 1B Albert Pujols.  He hit his first home run and picked up his first RBIs in 12 games, a slump that saw his average fall from .344 to .303 coming into the series.  “It’s always good when Albert’s hitting,” St. Louis manager Tony LaRussa said.  The team is now 12-13 on the road this season (-420) and 27-21 overall (-460).  Against division foes this season, St. Louis has compiled an 11-10 mark (-690) and is 93-85 against the NL Central over the last three years (-1,380).

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Needless to say, not all rotations in baseball are created equal. Some teams have five starting pitchers who are trustworthy and reliable to bettors, while others barely have one or two. You obviously need to handicap each pitcher separately – as opposed to betting on a team based on the strength or weakness of their rotation – but looking at the comparative strengths of the rotations from a betting perspective is still a useful and entertaining exercise. Here are my top four rotations in order:

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A pair of first-place teams square off at Petco Park in the opening game of a three-game series.

St. Louis Cardinals at San Diego Padres

St. Louis is set to begin its six-game road trip against the San Diego Padres, after completing a successful 5-2 homestand against Washington, Florida and the Los Angeles Angels (+194).  The Cardinals have produced a 26-19 overall record in large part to their strong pitching staff, raking second in the league with a 3.07 ERA, just behind tonight’s opponent.  The team has an even 11-11 record on the road this season (-240), including an even 3-3 mark against the NL West (-55).  Runs are tough to come by at Petco Park, which places even more pressure on star 1B Albert Pujols to break out of a slump.  The three-time MVP is 3-for-20 in his last six games and doesn’t have an RBI in his last nine.

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Saturday MLB Handicapper Report – (Complete)

Baltimore Orioles

  • Baltimore would capture its first road series victory of the year with a win today or tomorrow.  The Orioles are 0-9-1 in road series since September 11-13, 2009.
  • The Orioles are now 13-12 in the all-time series against Washington.  They won the season series in 2009, 4-2, taking two of three in D.C.
  • OF Adam Jones has hit safely in 13 of his last 14 games, going 18-for-53 and raising his average from .218 to .254.
  • Baltimore is 10-20 this year against right-handed starters (-710).  The team has compiled a .257 batting average against righties while scoring 3.7 runs per game.
  • Pitching staff has allowed at least one run in the eighth inning or later in 24 of their 43 games this season.  The Orioles have allowed the tying or go-ahead run to score in the eighth inning or later 10 times.
  • SP Brad Bergesen has allowed just 22 runners in 19.1 innings in his last three starts, compared to 27 runners in 10.1 innings of work in his first three starts of the season.
  • Bergesen is just 1-5 with a 4.45 ERA in his career away from Camden Yards.

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The Angels and Cardinals prepare for Game 2 of an interleague clash, with both scheduled starters looking to turn around their season.

Los Angeles Angels at St. Louis Cardinals

Los Angeles struggled to shut down St. Louis’ offense in the first three innings on Friday night, ultimately falling, 9-5, in the first game of the series.  The Angels started the year 4-2 on the road, but are now 4-11 in their last 15 road games (-320 overall).  One of the main problems for the team offensively is producing extra-base hits, as the team has just 123 compared to 168 by their opponents this season.  The starting rotation has been the team’s main barometer in the first 44 games this season, posting a 1.70 ERA in 20 wins and a 7.65 ERA in 24 losses.  The Angels are in the middle of a stretch of playing 21 of 27 games on the road, as they will fly the most air miles of any team in 2010 (50,509).

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Thursday MLB Handicapper Report – (Final)

Atlanta Braves

  • Since snapping a season-high nine-game losing streak on 4/30, the Braves have gone 12-6 and have evened their record at 20-20.  Atlanta is .500 for the first time since 4/23 (8-8).
  • Tied with the Brewers and Rockies for the fewest home games (18) in the National League so far this season.  Atlanta is 12-6 at home.
  • Tonight the Braves will depart on a six-game, seven-day road trip, opening a stretch in which they will play 17 of 23 games on the road.
  • INF/OF Eric Hinske is batting .464 with two home runs and 10 RBI in his last eight starts, spurring the Braves to pick up victories in six of those eight games.
  • Atlanta batters have collected a major-league-best 181 walks this season (NYY – 175), but rank just eighth in the majors with a .342 on-base percentage.
  • SP Tommy Hanson has just one career start against the Reds, picking up a victory while allowing just three hits.
  • The right-hander is 8-4 with a 3.35 ERA in 15 career starts at home, striking out 101 batters and walking just 28 over 94 innings.

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