Week 4 Preseason NFL Lines Board
The week 4 nfl preseason lines updated with thoughts
The NFL preseason concludes tonight with all 32 teams in action. The 53 man roster cuts are this Saturday, so this is the last chance for coaches to evaluate players and players to impress coaches. According to our NFL betting lines page, there have been some line movements since Monday. Let’s see where spreads are sitting.

Continue reading “NFL Preseason Updated Lines For Week 4”

Arizona Cardinals Football
With Leinart and Anderson in a QB duel for the starting position, both should see a decent amount of action tonight.
When the Washington Redskins head to Arizona to take on the Cardinals Thursday night, the ‘Skins will travel farther than any other preseason team this year. In fact, this will be the longest road trip for the Redskins all season long. “Why couldn’t they come here?” asked guard Derrick Dockery. Head coach Mike Shanahan added, “It’s a little unusual traveling that far.” These are not the kind of comments you want to be reading if you are backing Washington. Considering this is the final week of the preseason and the game doesn’t really matter, Redskins bettors should be very worried.

Continue reading “The Wiseguys See Cardinals Soaring Over Redskins”

Aaron Rodgers Green Bay Packers
No Rodgers, no problem says the public, they will continue to take the +6 on the Pack all the way til kickoff
The Green Bay Packers have been the most offensively prolific team in the NFL preseason. Through 3 games the Pack have put up 110 points, including a 59-24 drubbing of the Indianapolis Colts last week. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers has been outstanding, having thrown 6 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Continue reading “Fade the Public Favorite: Look for Chiefs to Win and Cover”

The public is betting the Cowboys, but the wiseguys are saying no so fast my friends, the Fish are the side to play.
The Miami Dolphins and Dallas Cowboys will meet Thursday night in Dallas for the final preseason game of the season. The last week of the preseason – more than any other week – is always a mystery. Who will play? What are coaches hoping to work on? What do experts know that the public does not?

Continue reading “Wiseguys Seem to be Siding with Visiting Dolphins”

Week 3 Preseason NFL Lines Board
The week 3 nfl preseason lines are now posted
The third week of NFL preseason games is set to begin this Thursday. Another sixteen games grace the schedule. With next week being the last week of preseason games, expect starters to see extended action this week. To keep up with lines from various sportsbooks, make sure to visit our NFL betting lines page.

Continue reading “Opening Week 3 NFL Preseason Odds & Early Line Moves”

The Bills are currently a 3.5 point favorite in the NFL odds against the Colts tonight.
The Indianapolis Colts (0-1) and Buffalo Bills (0-1) meet for the first time since the 2009 regular-season finale, and if you watched that game then you will understand why the home team is favored yet again in this preseason matchup.  The Bills were -9 on the NFL point spread in the last meeting and dominated the Colts in a 30-7 rout as Indy backup QB Curtis Painter struggled mightily after Peyton Manning left the game.

Continue reading “NFL Betting Odds: Colts Vs Bills Lines & Game Preview”

San Francisco 49ers Football
We are going to have a fine season because our team is improved and we play in a weak division, not because of last years strength of schedule
There is a lot of attention paid every year to strength of schedule in the NFL. When the schedule is released lots of articles pop up talking about who has an easy schedule and who has a hard one, and talking heads go wild trying to explain what it all means and who has the edge. It’s talked about in grand and important tones, and given a lot of significance. This year, for example, people are talking about how the Niners and the Chargers could be lifted by schedules which are in the bottom five of the league in terms of difficulty, while the Texans, Bengals and Cowboys could see promising seasons compromised by playing top five difficulty schedules. There’s only one problem with that line of thinking – by itself strength of schedule is virtually a meaningless statistic. That’s especially true for NFL handicappers. Here are five good reasons why strength of schedule is more a distraction than a tool for bettors looking to place winning bets:

Continue reading “NFL Handicapping: Why NFL Strength of Schedule is Meaningless”

Preseason NFL Betting Lines Board
Bookmaker has gone live with the week 1 nfl preseason odds
The week 1 NFL lines have been posted at most sportsbooks for a few months now, but before the regular season games take place one of the best betting opportunities for sports handicappers comes first.  I am talking about preseason football betting.  The NFL preseason odds for the hall of fame game through the Giants/Jets game on August 16th opened at Bookmaker yesterday and are now ready to hammered out by the sharp players.  The opening and current point spreads are listed below. Continue reading “NFL Preseason Betting Odds Now Live”

My 12-7 ATS record last year proves I cover for bettors just as often as my predecessor Mr Dungy did
The problem right now for most sports bettors is that the football season is so close that’s alluring, camps are underway, week 1 NFL lines are posted, but there is still a whole pile of time to kill between now and the first meaningful kickoff. Far too long. In  an attempt to kill some of that time while still being productive, I thought I’d take a look back at the teams that have been consistently good against the spread over the last five season, and those that have been consistently bad. The reasoning is that the five year time frame smooths out some of the flukes and unexplainable one year glitches – like the year Cleveland was actually good – and gives us a more meaningful long term picture. Before we look at what I found, I’m going to be like a bad comedian and tell the punchline before the joke – it’s really striking here that the teams that have been consistently solid against the spread are the teams that have been consistently very good, and the ones that have consistently burned money are the terrible teams. In this regard at least, the betting public is right in their NFL pick loyalties:

Continue reading “Best and Worst NFL Teams Against the Spread the Last 5 Seasons”

We talked about turnover differential in our last article in handicapping season win totals.  The premise is that luck tends to inflate and deflate a teams win over a course of a season.  Normally teams that had positive turnover differential one season tend to not be so lucky the next time around and vice versa.  We are looking to buck that trend again this season.  Once again here is that turnover table from last year.

Continue reading “NFL Betting: Regular Season Win Total Picks”

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