Patriots Vs Giants Football Preview
The Giants are 3 point home favorites tonight over the Patriots
The New England Patriots (2-1) and New York Giants (1-2) close out the preseason against each other for the third year in a row on Thursday following their thrilling showdown in Super Bowl XLII.  The Patriots lost that championship meeting 17-14 as double-digit favorites after a 16-0 regular season and enter this game against the Giants as 3-point underdogs according to most of the sportsbooks NFL point spreads.

Continue reading “Patriots Vs Giants Betting Preview & Point Spread”

The Patriots are 7-7.5 home point favorites tonight against the Bills depending where you shop
The New England Patriots (2-0) will get their chance to introduce rookie quarterback Sam Bradford into the NFL when he makes his first pro start for the St. Louis Rams (1-1) on Thursday.  The Rams had started veteran A.J. Feeley at QB in their first two games, but he is out with a thumb injury.  Since Patriots head coach Bill Belichick is a defensive guru who knows how to attack the opposition, his team is favored by more than a touchdown at -7.5 at most sportsbooks.  Preseason lines do move quick and with a lot less money than regular season nfl games so be sure to view our NFL betting odds page to compare the current lines at the sportsbooks.

Continue reading “Free NFL Pick: Patriots Vs Rams Game Preview”

Atlanta heads into tonights contest as a 2.5 point home favorite
The New England Patriots (1-0) and Atlanta Falcons (1-0) meet in the Georgia Dome after both teams turned in solid performances in their preseason openers last week.  The Falcons did not manage a touchdown by their starters in a game that featured five field-goal attempts on the first eight drives – including four straight misses from 50 yards or longer – but they did play well defensively and escaped without any major injuries in a 20-10 win over the Kansas City Chiefs.

Continue reading “Preseason Football Betting: Patriots Vs Falcons Game Preview”

New England Patriots Vs New Orleans Saints Preseason GameThe New England Patriots and New Orleans Saints got a sneak preview of each other earlier in the week when they practiced together, meeting for the first time since the defending Super Bowl champions made a big statement in a 38-17 rout on Monday Night Football last November.  The Saints still need a couple more championships to equal the Patriots, who find themselves as small favorites at -1.5 in Thursday’s preseason opener for both teams.  Line is current of the time of publish, but preseason betting odds do move quickly so check out the NFL betting lines page of the website for up to date point spreads.

Continue reading “Football Picks: Preseason Betting Preview Saints Vs Patriots”

My 12-7 ATS record last year proves I cover for bettors just as often as my predecessor Mr Dungy did
The problem right now for most sports bettors is that the football season is so close that’s alluring, camps are underway, week 1 NFL lines are posted, but there is still a whole pile of time to kill between now and the first meaningful kickoff. Far too long. In  an attempt to kill some of that time while still being productive, I thought I’d take a look back at the teams that have been consistently good against the spread over the last five season, and those that have been consistently bad. The reasoning is that the five year time frame smooths out some of the flukes and unexplainable one year glitches – like the year Cleveland was actually good – and gives us a more meaningful long term picture. Before we look at what I found, I’m going to be like a bad comedian and tell the punchline before the joke – it’s really striking here that the teams that have been consistently solid against the spread are the teams that have been consistently very good, and the ones that have consistently burned money are the terrible teams. In this regard at least, the betting public is right in their NFL pick loyalties:

Continue reading “Best and Worst NFL Teams Against the Spread the Last 5 Seasons”

Favre’s ankle surgery could be sign for QB’s return

It’s looking more and more like Brett Favre will be back for a 20th season in the NFL. The Vikings QB had arthroscopic ankle surgery Friday which would enable him to participate in the Vikings’ training camp in July. While Favre didn’t officially comment on his plans to return for another season, this strongly suggests that Favre will be back in purple and gold for the 2011 season.

Continue reading “NFL Weekly Recap”

The not entirely surprising news flew around the internet this morning that Kurt Warner could be in his last days as an NFL quarterback. The always mysterious ‘anonymous sources close to the situation’ say that Warner’s next loss could be his last. That makes sense in many way given that he is now 38 years old, and he had a concussion earlier this year. The way he played today, though, it’s pretty clear that he plans to go out the right way. Warner was absolutely brilliant today – about as good as a quarterback can be. He was 29 of 33 for 379 yards and five touchdowns. Brilliant. Warner had a good shot at a sixth touchdown as well at the end of regulation. He marched 60+ yards down the field effortlessly, but stopped on first down with 14 seconds left to give Neil Rackers a shot at an easy winning field goal – one that he uncharacteristically missed. The Green Bay defense had strengthened up and found itself in the second half of the season, but Warner just shredded it all day today. A lot of people made the mistake of counting out Warner and the Cardinals last year. Despite getting burned by that, people overwhelmingly made the same mistake today. I’m still not convinced by any means that they have what it takes to win the NFC two years in a row, but I wouldn’t rule them out. No matter what, every remaining NFC game will be played in a climate controlled building, and that’s just what the Cards need. Their defense was a real problem today, but their offense was more than up to the task of making up for that. The Saints have real defensive woes as well, and seem vulnerable on both sides of the ball. Minnesota and Dallas both play good defense on average, but both can have rough days from time to time. No matter what, the rest of the NFC playoffs are going to be brilliant. That should more than make up for an AFC schedule that is frankly a bit boring in my eyes (boring become it seems almost predetermined, and because it seems hard to imagine exciting games next weekend).

Continue reading “A Great Game, And Another One”

It’s too early to fully decide for now, but I think it’s safe to say that Richard Jefferson in San Antonio isn’t working as well it seemed like it would. He has seen the same basic amount of playing time that he has in the past, but his production has dropped by seven points from last year, and is his lowest since he was a rookie in 2001. Three of the last four years he has averaged about 20 points or more per game. This year he has only topped 20 points three times. The Spurs have limped out of the gate at just 10-9 after a win last night, and they have been mostly lousy on the road and against good competition. It doesn’t really matter how he does now as long as the team makes the playoffs, but clearly the chemistry isn’t working yet.

Continue reading “Thursday Notes”

1. I don’t think that we should read too much into how the Saints won today. It wasn’t pretty, and it probably shouldn’t have happened, but there was a lot to take from that. First, Washington was the best passing defense in the league coming into the game but the Saints managed 419 passing yards against them, and they made the winning TD look as easy as it can possibly look. Next, the Redskins were at home and were fired up by trying to save their season and all that so it made sense that they were stout. Finally, the Saints were missing three cornerbacks , so I’m not concerned by their ability to stop Jason Campbell. The Saints almost lost to a bad team, but they found a way to get the win in the end, and that’s all that matters.

Continue reading “6+1 Quick Sunday Observations”

It’s early in the first set of Sunday games , and a lot of thoughts are running through my mind already:

1. What is the point of this farce in London? The field isn’t ideal, the crowd sounds like they are at a funeral, the broadcast doesn’t look or sound quite right, and the Bucs are pretty much the worst ambassadors for the league possible. Josh Johnson has thrown two interceptions already in the first quarter, and the game is already over. Of course, it was all but over before the kickoff. It can’t be long now until we see Josh Freeman start to play for the Bucs – it’s not like they have anything to play for, and Freeman can’t be much worse than the alternative.

Continue reading “Mid-Game Sunday Thoughts”

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