Brett Favre and the Vikings are Clearly Overated
The hype machine is working at full capacity in the NFL. You don’t have to look to hard to find someone who is optimistic about virtually every team in the NFL – every single one is poised for big things if you believe the hype. Not every team can be successful, though, so unless the rules have changed this year many of those teams are going to be disappointments because the hype just doesn’t match reality. Based on a combination of future odds and media coverage here are four teams that are getting more love than I think they deserve. Yes, I am calling them overrated:

Continue reading “The Most Overrated NFL Teams Heading Into the 2010 Season”

Aaron Rodgers Green Bay Packers
Defense could be a problem for bettors taking Green Bay in the Super Bowl XLV Betting Odds

Continue reading “2011 Super Bowl XLV Future Odds: Biggest Concerns for the Super Bowl Favorites”

Even with preseason NFL games, nothing can be easy.  This past weekend proved no exception. I e-mailed a friend of mine who covers an NFL team and wanted to get a gauge on the state of the team going into the Giants-Ravens game.  “Why would you bet on these preseason games?” was his response.  Quite frankly, I replied, that if you pick your spots, you can find some good spots. Unfortunately, he was no help with his game. I was on my own to pick out some good plays.  As usual, the NFL serves up more ups and downs than your county fair roller coaster.

Continue reading “Life on the Line: Living Through the Betting Roller Coaster that is the NFL Preseason”

Brett Favre Makes His Preseason Debut tonight
Now that the drama is finally over for the Minnesota Vikings (1-0) after QB Brett Favre reported to training camp earlier this week following yet another premature retirement announcement, they can now focus on getting ready for the 2010 regular-season opener at New Orleans and keeping their players as healthy as possible.  Favre is expected to play on Sunday and start against the San Francisco 49ers (1-0), who are small home favorites on the nfl betting odds at -3.

Continue reading “49ers Vs Vikings Betting Odds & Game Preview”

Jared Allen Minnesota VikingsNFL teams are absolutely obsessed with the defensive line. Finding players who can consistently provide pass rushing pressure is very hard to do, but teams use a lot of draft picks and spend millions on free agents in an attempt to do so. A team that can pressure the quarterback gets all sorts of attention form the public and the media. One that can stuff the run is a bit more under the radar, but no less valued by team management. The best way for a defensive front to provide apply pressure is a topic of much debate and contention, and there are about as many advocates of 3-4 schemes as those that back a 4-3.

Continue reading “NFL Handicapping: Defensive Fronts Covering Point Spreads”

Teams are in the process of preparing for training camp and rosters are shaping up. Nothing is set in stone yet, and injuries in camp can still change the look of a team for next season. However, we now have a good idea of what the teams will look like. On top of that, it is never too early to look at the Super Bowl futures, as there is some value to be found for the early bird.

Continue reading “Super Bowl XLV Future Odds”

Favre’s ankle surgery could be sign for QB’s return

It’s looking more and more like Brett Favre will be back for a 20th season in the NFL. The Vikings QB had arthroscopic ankle surgery Friday which would enable him to participate in the Vikings’ training camp in July. While Favre didn’t officially comment on his plans to return for another season, this strongly suggests that Favre will be back in purple and gold for the 2011 season.

Continue reading “NFL Weekly Recap”

News of note as we head into an uncharacteristically slow weekend of sporting action:

Minnesota Vikings’ fans are not going to be happy. The NFL has admitted today that the play in which Favre hurt his ankle in the third quarter was called incorrectly. Favre threw an interception on the play, though New Orleans didn’t score on the subsequent play. The league has now said that the play should have resulted in a penalty because Favre was hit from behind, and that the Vikings should have had a first down on the New Orleans 19. At the very least, then, they would have wound up with a field goal, and that would have made all the difference. Though I don’t disagree with what the league said, I really have to wonder why they bother saying anything now – unless they have interest in driving Minnesota fans insane.

Continue reading “Friday Notes”

Five questions I have been asking myself about each of today’s games:

Jets (+7.5) at Colts

1. Will Sanchez’ weak play be a liability? I think that underwhelming play from Sanchez is a given – he hasn’t been particularly good in a long, long time. So far in the playoffs the coaching staff has been able to plan around is deficiencies. Can they keep that up?

Continue reading “Questioning the NFL Championship games”

Five Thoughts about each of Sunday’s games:

Dallas (+2.5) at Minnesota

1. Is the Dallas defense for real? They have allowed just two touchdowns in the last 12 quarters, and have looked almost unbeatable, but that has come in two games against the obviously deeply flawed Eagles and a game at the terrible Redskins. This is a big step up in competition for them.

Continue reading “NFL Playoffs: Assessing Sunday”

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