The Atlanta Braves (52-43) and Miami Marlins (44-51) will open up a three-game National League East series on Monday night at Marlins Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:10 ET

Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins

Continue reading “MLB Picks 2012: Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins”

The Philadelphia Phillies (36-42) and Miami Marlins (35-40) will open up a three-game National League East series on Friday night at Marlins Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:10 ET

Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins 

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The Boston Red Sox (29-31) and Miami Marlins (31-29) will open up an interleague series on Monday night at Marlins Park in Miami, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:10 ET on ESPN

Boston Red Sox at Miami Marlins

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The St. Louis Cardinals (0-0) and Miami Marlins (0-0) have finished their Spring Training schedules and will kick off their 2012 season inside a new ball park on Wednesday night on ESPN.

St. Louis Cardinals at Miami Marlins 

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The Philadelphia Phillies and Florida Marlins will battle it out in the second game of their series with a high profile pitching matchup on tap at Sun Life Stadium

Philadelphia Phillies at Florida Marlins

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The Braves are in position to win their 18th home series of the year in Sunday’s series finale against the Marlins.

Florida Marlins at Atlanta Braves

Florida fell 12-3 in the second game of this three-game set in Atlanta, falling 8 1/2 games back in the NL East race.  The 12 runs allowed were a season-high by the Marlins and starting pitcher Ricky Nolasco managed to last just two innings.  “I just stunk.  I didn’t throw anything where I wanted to,” said Nolasco.  The club still has seven  meetings remaining in the season series which includes today’s series finale at Turner Field.  The Fish expect rookie outfielder Mike Stanton to get the start in right field this afternoon after not starting in the previous two games.  Also, third baseman Wes Helms is also expected to return after sitting out the first pair of games in this series.  Florida still holds a solid 27-23 record against divisional opponents (+460) and the total is 26-21 O/U in those contests.  The Marlins also possess a winning 17-15 mark in daytime games and are 64-58 under the sun the past three years (+1,060).

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The Marlins are desperately trying to reach .500 and make a run at the NL East division leaders, as they send their ace to the mound in a series finale against the Rockies.

Colorado Rockies at Florida Marlins

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The first place Braves enjoyed a well-deserved off day and now welcome the world traveling Marlins.

Florida Marlins at Atlanta Braves

Florida dropped a 6-5 decision to the New York Mets in a series finale that was played in San Juan, Puerto Rico.  The club is still adjusting to the guidance of new skipper Edwin Rodriguez, after the club dismissed Fredi Gonzalez in late June.  After taking two of three against the Mets in a series where they were designated the home team, the Marlins head off on a 10-game road trip.  Florida has won five of its last seven games away from Sun Life Stadium and should remain confident in playing at Turner Field.  The squad posted a 6-3 mark on the Braves home field last season.  Over the last three years, the Fish have posted a 98-75 mark against NL East opponents (+3,010).

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Both the Chicago White Sox and Oakland Athletics are poised to complete a sweep of their opponent on Sunday.

Florida Marlins at Chicago White Sox

Florida managed to score just a single run on Saturday, ending a season long stretch of 23 scoreless innings.  In its last six road games, the Marlins have been held to three runs or fewer five times (5-0-1 O/U).  “We need to make an adjustment and start scoring runs again,” said 2B Dan Uggla.  A win today would keep the team’s May record above .500 (11-10, +40), which is still a remarkable improvement from a disastrous 9-20 record in the month last season.  Florida is 12-16 against right-handed starters this season (-600), but has garnered a 131-125 mark the last three seasons (+810).

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There are some pitchers out there who are consistently good at going under the posted total, and others who have never met a total that they can’t go over. Some of that is related to their ERA and the way they are pitching – bad pitcher are going to allow a lot of runs and make t easier to go over, while great pitchers are stingy with runs and go deep in games, and it is hard to go over. There is more to it than just that, though. The pitchers have a big impact on the total that the oddsmakers set, so it only makes sense that both the performance and the public perception of those pitchers factors heavily into the line as it is set. A pitcher that performs at a higher level than the public perceives him to, then, could be a useful pitcher to play on the over/under. Here’s a look at 10 guys who have been particularly useful against the total so far this year:

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