Pro Football Week 11 Picks: Denver Broncos vs. St. Louis Rams

Denver Broncos vs. St. Louis Rams
Sunday, 11/16/14, 1:00 PM EST
Opening Point Spread: Denver -8
Current Betting Line: Denver -9.5
Opening Total: 50.5
Current Total: 50.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Denver Broncos are 4-1 ATS as road favorites of 7.5 to 10 points since 2012

Denver landed back in the win column with a 41-17 victory over the Oakland Raiders as 12.5-point road favorites last week, while going OVER the betting total for a sixth consecutive affair. The Broncos have been dealing with numerous injuries in their offensive backfield, which is important to consider when making your Week 11 pro football picks, but their depth at the running back position has provided balance alongside signal-caller Peyton Manning. All eyes will be on C.J. Anderson, who racked up 163 total yards in the Bay Area. Denver is 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS as road favorites of 7.5 to 10 points the last two-plus seasons.

The Broncos are one of the betting favorites to win the Super Bowl, which can’t be ignored when looking over the pro football odds, as manning has thrown for at least two scores in a league-record 15 straight games and at least one in 48 in a row. Denver has plenty of weapons for its future Hall of Fame signal-caller to target, including tight end Julius Thomas, who has tied a league record with 12 touchdown catches in nine games.

St. Louis has alternated wins and losses over its last five games, as it returns home after a three-game road trip—dropping a 31-14 decision to the Arizona Cardinals as seven-point underdogs last week. The Rams didn’t move the ball very well over their recent stretch away from home, as they averaged 11.3 points and 212.3 yards in that span. Austin Davis needs to play at a higher level to keep his team competitive in this non-conference matchup, as he’s thrown three touchdowns and five interceptions in the last three contests. St. Louis is 10-9 SUATS at home the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER going 12-7 in those 19 opportunities.

The Rams haven’t been able to get a run game going to ease the pressure for Davis when dropping back, as they’ve failed to hit the century mark in that category in each of their last five games, which could spell trouble in taking on a stop unit that leads the league in surrendering just 67.0 yards on the ground per contest.