NFL Week 6 Predictions: Green Bay Packers vs. Miami Dolphins

Green Bay Packers vs. Miami Dolphins
Sunday, 10/12/14, 1:00 PM EST
Opening Point Spread: Green Bay -3.5
Current Betting Line: Green Bay -2
Opening Total: 48.5
Current Total: 47
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Miami Dolphins will look to build off their win overseas last time out

Green Bay has won back-to-back games, including a 42-10 triumph over the Minnesota Vikings as 8.5-point home favorites on Oct. 2, while going OVER the betting total for the fourth time in five opportunities this season. The Packers will be facing off against a familiar face in this matchup, which is important to consider when making your Week 6 NFL predictions, as Dolphins head coach Joe Philbin spent nine seasons as an assistant on their sideline. Green Bay is 12-3 SU and 9-6 ATS as favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER going 9-7 in that situation.

The Packers have won 14 of their last 15 October games, which can’t be ignored when looking over the NFL betting odds, especially with quarterback Aaron Rodgers ranking second in the league with a passer rating of 114.8. Green Bay has dropped 10 of 13 meetings in this particular series, including a 23-20 overtime setback as three-point home favorites on Oct. 17, 2010, with its star signal-caller completing 18 of 33 passes for 313 yards with a touchdown and an interception in that matchup.

Miami snapped a two-game losing streak in picking up a 38-14 victory over the Okaland Raiders as four-point favorites on Sept. 28 in London, with the OVER cashing for the third time in four contests. The Dolphins need another major performance out of quarterback Ryan Tannehill, who finished with a season-high 278 yards passing and two touchdowns last time out, while the offense could maintain balance due to running back Lamar Miller averaging 5.7 yards per carry. Miami is 10-12 SU and 12-8-2 ATS as underdogs the last two-plus seasons.

The Dolphins could control the football in this matchup, considering they sit fifth in the league in averaging 142.3 rushing yards per game—facing a Packers defense that surrendered an NFL-worst 163.0 yards a contest on the ground. Miami has managed to score a combined 71 points in its two wins, but put up just 25 on the scoreboard in its two defeats.