NFL Week 4 Picks: New York Giants vs. Kansas City Chiefs

New York Giants vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Sunday, 9/29/13, 1:00 PM EST
Opening Point Spread: Kansas City -4.5
Current Betting Line: Kansas City -4
Opening Total: 45.5
Current Total: 44.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

Giants Redskins Betting Preview — The New York Giants are turning the football over at a very high rate in 2013

New York owns a 10-2 series advantage over Kansas City, as it looks to pick up its first victory of the 2013 campaign, while going OVER the total in two of its three games this season. The Giants are 24-20 in regular season games versus AFC West opponents, which is important to consider when making your NFL expert picks. Head coach Tom Coughlin is 5-1 when taking on the Chiefs over the course of his career, as the franchise tries to become the first 0-3 team to make the playoffs since 1998. New York is 5-5 SU and 6-4 ATS as underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points the last two-plus seasons.

The Giants need to start protecting the football, as they’ve committed a league-high 13 turnovers, while their offensive line has allowed 11 sacks. New York is also gaining just 44.3 yards per game on the ground and giving up 129.3 in that particular category, which is important to consider when looking over the NFL betting lines in Week 4. The team has won four consecutive games in this series, but the last meeting occurred in 2009.

Kansas City is 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS through three weeks of the season, with the UNDER cashing in each of those contests. The Chiefs haven’t started a season with four consecutive wins since 2003, but they’ve got a great opportunity to accomplish that feat in this matchup, as they enter with an NFL-best plus-nine turnover differential. On the other side of the ball, the defense is getting after opposing quarterbacks, as it has tallied 15 sacks after tallying just 27 in 2012. Kansas City is 0-2 SUATS as favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points the last two-plus seasons.

The Chiefs have regained confidence as a franchise with head coach Andy Reid and quarterback Alex Smith coming together in Kansas City, while the defense is allowing just 309.0 yards per game. Over the last two-plus seasons, the team is 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS when dressing up as a favorite, with the UNDER going 5-2 in that situation.