NFL Week 4 Picks: Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears

Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears
Sunday, 9/28/14, 1:00 PM EST
Opening Point Spread: Chicago -1
Current Betting Line: Green Bay -1.5
Opening Total: 49.5
Current Total: 50
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Green Bay Packers are hoping to get more production out of Eddie Lacy against the Chicago Bears in Week 4

Green Bay has alternated wins and losses in its first three games, as it looks to bounce back from a 19-7 defeat to the Detroit Lions as one-point road underdogs in Week 3, while going UNDER the betting total for the second time. The Packers were held scoreless in the final three quarters in their latest affair, which is important to consider when making your NFL betting picks, especially since they finished with just 223 yards. Green Bay is 4-10 SU and 3-9-2 ATS in games with a betting line of +3 to -3.

Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers has averaged 282.0 yards while totaling 14 touchdowns and four interceptions in his last five full contests against the Bears, which can’t be ignored when looking over the NFL betting odds. Green Bay hasn’t dropped its first three road games since suffering a lost in its first four such contests during the 2005 campaign. Offensively, the team needs a major performance from running back Eddie Lacy, who has gained just 113 rushing yards in his sophomore campaign as a professional after gaining 1,178 yards in his first year out of Alabama.

Chicago has won back-to-back games after suffering a 23-20 season-opening loss to the Buffalo Bills, but it’s important to point out that the team has been outgained by triple-digit margins in each of those victories. Bears signal-caller Jay Cutler will look to continue his strong play, but he’s tossed just 11 touchdowns and thrown 18 interceptions in his 10 career meetings against the Packers. Chicago is 10-7 SU and 4-12-1 ATS at Soldier Field the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER going 9-8 in that situation.

The Bears need to establish a running game in this affair, which is certainly possible with Matt Forte going over the century mark in terms of yardage in both meetings in this series in 2013. He has gained just 54 combined yards in the team’s last two contests after opening the season with an 82-yard performance against the Bills.