New York Giants at Seattle Seahawks
CenturyLink Field – Seattle, Washington
Sunday, November 9, 2014, 4:25 pm Eastern, TV: Fox, NFL Sunday Ticket
Opening Line: Seattle -9
Current Line: Seattle -10 (+105)
Opening Total: 45
Current Total: 44
Opening Money Line: Seahawks -440 / Giants +355
Current Money Line: Seahawks -550 / Giants +425
The Seattle Seahawks are going through the hangover that a lot of defending Super Bowl champs go through the next season. Every team they face gives them their best effort every week. Complacency is also a problem because players might not be as hungry as they were before they won the championship. Even at home where the Seahawks used to be almost invincible, the vaunted 12th man hasn’t been as intimidating. Still the Seahawks are 5-3 this season and currently hold the last playoff spot in the NFC. Seattle has won two straight games and this week they host the 3-5 New York Giants.
Since 2001, the series is tied 4-4 between the Seahawks and Giants. Seattle has won 2 straight games against New York, including 23-0 in New Jersey last season. The last 5 games in this series have been decided by double digits.
New York is coached by Tom Coughlin. The Giants have had an up an down season starting off 0-2 before winning 3 straight games. However, New York is currently on a 3 game losing streak. The Giants are in third place in the NFC East behind the 6-2 Philadelphia Eagles and 6-3 Dallas Cowboys. New York has home wins over the Houston Texans 30-17 and Atlanta Falcons 30-20, along with a road win over the Washington Redskins 45-14. The Giants have road losses at the Detroit Lions 35-14, Eagles 27-0, and Cowboys 31-21, plus home losses to the Arizona Cardinals 25-14 and last Monday against the Indianapolis Colts 40-24. New York is 3-5 ATS and the total is 5-3 this season. The Giants were 3 point underdogs against the Colts and the total was 51.
Seattle is coached by Pete Carroll. The Seahawks are in second place in the NFC West behind the 7-1 Arizona Cardinals. Seattle has road losses at the San Diego Chargers 30-21 and St. Louis Rams 28-26. The Seahawks lost at home to the Cowboys 30-23. Seattle has home wins over the Green Bay Packers 36-16, Denver Broncos 26-20 in overtime, and last week against the Oakland Raiders 30-24, plus road wins at the Redskins 27-17 and Carolina Panthers 13-9. Seattle has won 2 straight games. The Seahawks are 3-5 ATS and the total is 5-3 this season. Seattle was a 13.5 point favorite against Oakland and the total was 43.5.
New York is being outscored 26-22 this season. The Giants are #24 in points allowed and #20 in scoring. New York is averaging 346 total yards per game including 235 passing yards and 111 rushing yards. On defense, the Giants are allowing 392 total yards per game including 273 passing and 119 rushing yards per game. New York is #22 or worse in all three categories. New York is 48/120 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 40/107. The Giants have forced 14 sacks and allowed 18 this season. New York is -1 in turnovers. The Giants have allowed one special teams touchdown this season.
New York quarterback Eli Manning has completed 62.5% of his passes for 1,932 yards with 16 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, along with a rushing touchdown. Running back Rashad Jennings has 91 carries for 396 yards and 2 touchdowns, along with 11 catches for 109 yards. He is out indefinitely with a knee injury. Andre Williams has 101 carries for 302 yards and 3 touchdowns, plus 5 catches.
Receiver Reuben Randle has 38 catches for 370 yards and 2 touchdowns. Receiver Victor Cruz has 23 catches for 337 yards and a touchdown. He is out for the season with a knee injury. Larry Donnell has 37 catches for 357 yards and 5 touchdowns. Tight end Daniel Fells has only 9 catches but 4 went for touchdowns. The Giants have a ton of injuries especially on the offensive line with four players at least questionable and the receiving corps with three players. Eight defensive players are also at least questionable.
Seattle is outscoring teams 25-22. The Seahawks are #11 in scoring and #10 in points allowed. Seattle is averaging 347 yards per game on offense including 199 passing and 149 rushing yards per game. The Seahawks are #2 in rushing in the NFL, but #30 in passing. Seattle is allowing 305 yards per game on defense including 222 passing and 83 rushing yards per game. The Seahawks are #6 or better in all three categories. Seattle is 43/108 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 50/114. The Seahawks have forced 11 sacks and allowed 15 this season. Seattle is +4 in turnovers this season. The Seahawks have 2 defensive touchdowns and have allowed a defensive and a special teams touchdowns.
Seattle quarterback Russell Wilson has completed 62.8% his passes for 1,669 yards with 11 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. He also has 52 carries for 393 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. Running back Marshawn Lynch has 132 carries for 549 yards and 5 touchdowns, plus 22 catches for 223 yards and 3 touchdowns. He is probable with a calf injury.Receiver Percy Harvin was traded to the Jets. Doug Baldwin has 34 catches for 409 yards and a touchdown. He is probable with a groin injury. Jermaine Kearse has 17 catches for 234 yards and a touchdown. Ricardo Lockette has two touchdown catches. Tight end Zach Miller is out indefinitely with an ankle injury. Fourteen defensive players and 4 offensive linemen are listed as questionable or out.
New York is 4-1-1 ATS after a double digit home loss, 4-1 when playing on a Sunday after a Monday night game, 5-2 after allowing more than 350 total yards, 12-5-1 after passing for more than 250 yards, 27-13-1 against teams with winning road records, 5-11 in road games, 19-43-2 in November, 1-4 after gaining more than 350 total yards, 1-4 after allowing more than 250 passing yards, 1-5 against teams with winning records, 1-7 after allowing more than 30 points, and 0-4 in week 10. The road team is 5-2-1 ATS in this series recently. The over is 4-1 in this series recently.
Seattle is 4-0 ATS in week 10, 14-6 after failing to cover, 18-8 against NFC teams, 22-10 at home, 36-17 on fieldturf, 11-23-1 after allowing less than 250 total yards, 1-4 against teams with losing records, and 0-4 overall. The favorite has covered 4 of the last 5 games in this series.
After the week one blowout of the Packers at home, Seattle hasn’t had a dominant performance at home since. Even the winless Raiders hung around last week. New York struggles on defense, and I think Seattle wins this game handily.
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