With a full slate of games this Sunday again, let us examine eight running backs and their respective chances on Bovada player prop bets. None of the backs are expected to rush for more than 90 yards, but calling these over/unders can prove rewarding for NFL prop bettors.
All betting props c/o Bovada
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Jay Ajayi (MIA) over/under 80.5 yards
Time: 4 PM CT
Jay Ajayi is coming off a 204 yard rush week last contest against the Pittsburgh Steelers. He carried 25 times in the game, which was just one less rush than he had the previous three weeks combined. He had no rushed for more than 42 yards in a game in the previous four weeks, making this barrel of inconsistency a tricky prop bet. Given how difficult it is to get a gauge on Ajayi’s touches, this is a prop bet we prefer to steer clear of. PUSH.
Todd Gurley (LA) over/under 70.5 yards
Time: 4 PM CT
OVER. Todd Gurley has rushed for 85, 33 and 72 yards the last three weeks while averaging 23 carries per game. He hasn’t had a single rush longer than 18-yards all season, though, and he averaged just 3.1 yards per carry last week. Still, with his high usage rate and the fact that Miami is ranked No. 29 in the NFL in rush yardage allowed, bodes well for Gurley. Miami surrender 128.8 yards per game on the ground, and we like Gurley’s chance of going for 70-plus.
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LeGarrette Blount (NE) over/under 90.5 yards
Time: 4:30 PM CT
LeGarette Blount managed just 91 yards the last two weeks combined, but in the two week’s prior to that he had 100-plus yard games. His touches have decreased since then, as he averaged just 15.5 carries the last two weeks. The L.A. Rams rank No. 15 in the NFL in rush defense while allowing 101 yards per game. Due to Blount’s decreasing touches and the fact the defense barely surrenders more yards on average we feel safe going UNDER.
Carlos Hyde (SF) over/under 52.5 yards
Time: 4:30 PM CT
OVER. Carlos Hyde has averaged 85 yards per game over his past three games, and he had 78 last week in the 21-33 loss to the Arizona Cardinals. New England ranks No. 13 in the NFL in rush yardage allowed, and Hyde should be good for at least 60 yards provided he gets his usual workload.
Ryan Mathews (PHI) over/under 37.5 yards
Time: 4:30 PM CT
Ryan Mathews got just 10 rushes per game over the past two contests while averaging 51 yards per game. He averaged 6.7 yards per carry last week, but Seattle has the No. 7 rush defense in the league allowing just 96.8 yards per game. That makes this pretty dicey. We will stay away. PUSH.
CJ Prosise (SEA) over/under 54.5 yards
Time: 4:30 PM CT
UNDER. CJ Prosise averages just 3.7 yards per carry, though he did have 66 yards last week on 17 attempts Philadelphia ranks No. 12 in rush defense allowing 100.6 per game, and we are confident they can put the clamps on Prosise to hold him under 50 yards.
Darren Sproles (PHI) over/under 64.5 yards
Time: 4:30 PM CT
UNDER. Darren Sproles has rushed for 65 yards over the last two weeks and last week he managed just 20 yards on four carries. Given he has rushed just 11 times in the past three weeks, without a serious uptick in usage he has no chance at amassing over 60 yards in this game.
James Starks (GB) over/under 40.5 yards
Time: 8:30 PM CT
UNDER. James Starks has rushed for 33 yards per game the e last two weeks, and last week he had 33 yards on seven carries. He is also a game time decision with a knee injury, which hardly bodes well for his work load being big enough this week. He is also only averaging 2.4 yards per carry this season.
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