Sunday Afternoon Quarterback Selected Prop Bets at Bovada
Philadelphia Eagles at L.A. Chargers
Time: 4 PM (CT)
Line: EVEN
The Philadelphia Eagles travel to face the Los Angeles Chargers at 4 PM (Central Time) on FOX. The game has even odds and looks to be a tight battle, but let us take a look at the yardage prop betting on its starting quarterbacks.
Carson Wentz over/under 245.5 passing yards
Over (-115); Under (-115)
Carson Wentz lofted over 300 yards in his first two games, but last week he was held in check by the N.Y. Giants as he threw 21 of 31 for just 176 yards. The 67.7 percent completion ratio was the best of 2017 for Wentz, but he averaged just 5.68 yards per pass attempt and had no passes for over 20-yards in the game. 21 was also his low-completion figure of the year. Wentz did not face the Chargers last season, a year which saw the quarterback throw for 245 or more passing yards in seven of the 16 games. While the mark should be within reach, we prefer the ‘UNDER’ as Wentz regresses to the mean with around 225 passing yards.
Philip Rivers over/under 190 passing yards
Over (-190); Under (+115)
Philip Rivers has been his usual active self offensively. He threw 40 pass attempts last week, 39 the week prior, and 33 in Week 1, as he has amassed at least 190 passing yards in each game this season. He had 237 last week, but threw three interceptions. This bet has nothing to do with accuracy and being picked, but everything to do with pure usage: Rivers should see enough attempts to surpass this mark, without even taking into account whether the 14th year veteran has a quality game or not, OVER.
San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals
Time: 3 PM (CT)
Line: ARI -7
At 3 PM (CT) on FOX, the Arizona Cardinals will host the San Francisco 49ers as 7-point favorites. Carson Palmer and the Cardinals offense has been fairly mediocre this season, and the team is just 1-2 through its first three weeks. Can Palmer amass the yardage to pass these prop bets, and can Arizona prevail as favorites at home in Week 4?
Brian Hoyer over/under 199.5 passing yards
Over (-115); Under (-115)
Brian Hoyer has been a little too wild and inconsistent, as have the 49ers, for us to trust him on this prop bet. Sure, last week he totaled 332 passing yards while averaging nearly 9 yards per attempt, but the week prior he was 15 of 27 for just 99 yards. Week 1 was also disappointing with 193 yards and an interception while losing 3-23 to Carolina. We do not trust the 49ers, nor Hoyer, and this is a good one to just PUSH on.
Brian Hoyer Over/Under 1 TD pass
Over (-140); Under (+110)
The same things we said regarding his passing yards apply to his TDs. Let’s PUSH again here on Hoyer.
Carson Palmer over/under 280.5 passing yards
Over (-115); Under (-115)
Carson Palmer has thrown for 268, 332 and 325 passing yards through his first three matchups. Last week, he launched 48 passes and completed 29 of them (60.4 percent) en route to two TDs and no picks. Palmer has averaged 44 pass attempts per game this season, and that should be enough to help him near in on 300 yards or surpass it once again. OVER.
Carson Palmer Over/under 2 TDs
Over (+110); Under (-140)
The UNDER is attractive at -140, though he did throw two TDs in last week’s 17-28 loss to the Dallas Cowboys. He had just one TD in each of the first two games, and that makes it a slightly safer prop bet than expecting the Cardinals to have some red zone luck with its aerial attack.
N.Y. Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Time: 3 PM (CT)
Line: TAM -1.5
The New York Giants travel to face Tampa Bay at 3 PM (CT) on FOX as 1.5-point underdogs. Tampa Bay is 1-1 on the season and 1-0 at home after its Week 2 victory over the Chicago Bears. Last week the Buccaneers fell 34-17 to the Minnesota Vikings. New York is 0-3 on the year.
Jameis Winston over/under 252.5 passing yards
Over (-115); Under (-115)
Jameis Winston is averaging 266 yards per game through his first two, and had 328 yards on 28 of 40 passing last week, despite throwing three interceptions to his two TDs. Winston the league’s fifth-stingiest pass defense. New York allows just 188.7 passing yards per game, and Winston needs 64 more than that to pass this prop bet. That said, we like his chances. The Giants do have the league’s worst rush defense and that may entice Jamison to take his chances on the ground, but overall, we also expect the Buccaneers to win by more than the oddsmakers 1.5-point to 2.5-point spread (varying upon oddsmakers). OVER.
Jameis Winston over/under 1.5 TD Passes
Over (-140); Under (+110)
Winston is likely to get the yardage, but we like the UNDER on the TD prop bet simply because if Tampa Bay is smart, it will seek to rush into the end zone against the Giants. That makes it less likely Winston racks up the passing TDs.
Eli Manning over/under 274.5 passing yards
Over (-115); Under (-115)
Eli Manning rebounded from a rough first two weeks in some ways last week. He had 366 yards on a 74.5 percent passing clip, but he threw two interceptions in a 24-27 loss. Will Manning see upwards of 40 pass attempts again in this game? Will he again approach 8 yards per attempt? It’s tough to wager against Manning given that he has shown so many signs of rapid decline, and the 274.5 mark is lofty. Tampa Bay also has one of the league’s softest secondaries, allowing 335.0 passing yards through its two contests this week. We are going to just PUSH this though.
Eli Manning over/under 1.5 TD passes
(Over -150); Under (+120)
Manning’s 1:1 TD to INT ratio is enough to make us steer clear of this. He is averaging 1.3 touchdowns per game, but the Giants offense just has not been good. UNDER.
