Philadelphia Eagles at Buffalo Bills
Sunday, 10/9/11, 1:00 PM EST, TV: FOX
Opening Point Spread: Philadelphia -3
Current Betting Line: Philadelphia -3
Opening Total: 48.5
Current Total: 50
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker
Philadelphia definitely wasn’t expecting to be 1-3 through the first four weeks of the season, but the team can definitely anticipate scoring points, coming in with a four-game streak of scoring 30-or-more points on the road. “Our issue right now is we are unable to close out games,” commented Eagles cornerback Nnamdi Asomugha. “You can’t come into that last quarter and not be able to pull it out.” The team dropped a 24-23 contest to the San Francisco 49ers as 9.5-point home favorites, but it wasn’t quarterback Michael Vick’s fault. He became the first player in league history to pass for 400 yards and rush for 75 in the same game. Philadelphia is 18-20 ATS over the last two-plus seasons, while the ‘over’ is 23-14 in that span.
The Eagles defense has gotten after quarterbacks this year, leading the league with 15 sacks, with all of them coming from the defensive line. Philadelphia’s offense also has a legitimate threat in the backfield, as running back LeSean McCoy is second in the league with six touchdowns, scoring at least one in all four games. Head coach Andy Reid definitely can lead a turnaround in October, posting a 27-20 record during the month in his career, including a 21-13 record since the 2002 campaign.
Buffalo dropped its first game of the season, failing to hold onto a halftime lead, falling 23-20 to the Cincinnati Bengals as three-point road favorites. The Bills return home and quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick continues to put up big numbers, averaging 280.3 passing yards per game, while also throwing nine touchdowns. “We were hoping to go 16-0,” Fitzpatrick stated in practice this week. “But obviously, not too many teams do that.” The Bills may plan to use running back Fred Jackson in a major way this week, as the Eagles have allowed 139.5 rushing yards per game, which is 30th in the NFL. Buffalo is 6-8 ATS at home and the ‘under’ is 10-7 over the last two-plus seasons.
The Bills defense will be on its heels in this contest, facing one of the more talented offenses in the league, while also giving up 405 yards a game. It’s an incredible number when considering the team surrendered just 213 yards in its season-opening win at Kansas City, but has given up 1,407 yards since, which is the third-highest total in club history in any three-game span. It could be a long day when considering the Eagles are have tallied a 44.3 yards per game differential since the start of the 2006 season.
Bettors will likely back the Eagles due to their 13-5 ATS mark on the road versus winning home teams, while the Bills are 0-6-1 ATS as an underdog of three points or less.
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