A big matchup for Week 3 of the NFL season is the upstart Atlanta Falcons against the New Orleans Saints. The Saints won both games last season. The Saints, a 3 ½-point home favorite, will be without running back Reggie Bush, while Falcons running back Michael Turner is expected to play. There are a few trends to follow between these teams.
The Saints are 38-58 ATS (-25.8 Units) as a home favorite since 1992, and they are 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after playing their last game on the road over the last 3 seasons. The under for the Saints is 7-0 (+7.0 Units) off a road no-cover where the team won as a favorite since 1992. For Saints coach Sean Payton, the over is 34-19 (+13.1 Units) against conference opponents.
Here are the trends for the rest of the games:
Cleveland at Baltimore (-10 ½): The Ravens are 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) as a home favorite since 1992. Balitmore Coach John Harbaugh is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points.
Cincinnati (-3) at Carolina: The Panthers are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons, they are 80-54 ATS (+20.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992. The Bengals are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. The under for the Bengals is 15-6 (+8.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons. For Panthers coach John Fox, the under is 40-25 (+12.5 Units) in home games.
Dallas at Houston (-3): The Cowboys are 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in road games after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992. For Texans coach Gary Kubiak, the under is 11-3 (+7.7 Units) off a non-conference game.
Detroit at Minnesota (-10 ½): The Vikings are 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) off an upset loss as a favorite since 1992. The Lions are 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in road games after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored since 1992. The over for Viking coach Ray Childress is 8-1 (+6.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses.
Buffalo at New England (-14): For the Bills, the under is 35-19 UNDER (+14.1 Units) after allowing 30 points or more last game since 1992. Patriots coach Bill Belichick is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) against conference opponents, and the under is 44-32 (+8.8 Units) as a home favorite.
San Francisco (-3) at Kansas City: The 49ers are 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games after playing on Monday night football since 1992. The under for the Chiefs is 24-7 (+16.3 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.
Pittsburgh (-3) at Tampa Bay: The Steelers are 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games where the total is 35 or less since 1992, and they are 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1992. Pittsburgh is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. The under for Tampa Bay is 63-37 (+22.3 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
Washington (-4) at St. Louis: The Rams are 50-74 ATS (-31.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992., and they are 76-109 ATS (-43.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992. The Redskins are 46-75 ATS (-36.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992. For the Redskins, the under is 125-95 (+20.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
Philadelphia (-3) at Jacksonville: The Jaguars are 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons. For the Eagles, the under is 21-9 (+11.1 Units) after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored since 1992. Eagles coach Andy Reid is 59-37 ATS (+18.3 Units) in road games.
Tennessee at New York Giants (-3): The Titans are 33-15 ATS (+16.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1992. The over for the Giants is 6-0 (+6.0 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. Titans coach Jeff Fisher is 50-38 ATS (+8.2 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3. He is also 33-15 ATS (+16.5 Units) in non-conference games. Giants coach Tom Coughlin is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) off a non-conference game.
Indianapolis (-5 ½) at Denver: The Broncos are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5 over the last 3 seasons. The over for the Colts is 61-39 (+18.1 Units) in road games after playing a game at home since 1992.
San Diego (-5) at Seattle: The Seahawks are 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. The over for the Chargers is 44-27 (+14.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1992. For the Seahawks, the over is 18-7 (+10.3 Units) in home games after a loss by 14 or more points since 1992. Chargers coach Norv Turner is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) off 1 or more straight overs.
Oakland at Arizona (-4 ½): The Raiders are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a win by 6 or less points over the last 3 seasons. The Cardinals are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Raiders coach Tom Cable is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a win by 6 or less points.
New York Jets at Miami (-2 ½): The Dolphins are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. Miami also is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off 2 consecutive road wins since 1992. The Jets are 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games after a 2 game home stand since 1992. The under for Miami is 31-16 (+13.4 Units) off a upset win as an underdog since 1992. Miami coach Tony Sparano is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread.
Green Bay (-3) at Chicago: The Packers are 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons. The over for the Packers is 117-86 (+22.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992. The under for the Bears is 103-75 (+20.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.