New England Patriots vs. New York Jets: NFL Thanksgiving Day Betting Odds and Predictions

New England Patriots at New York Jets
Thursday, 11/22/12, 8:20 PM EST, TV: NBC
Opening Point Spread: New England -7
Current Betting Line: New England -6.5
Opening Total: 50.5
Current Total: 48
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

Patriots vs. Dolphins NFL Preview — New England Patriots QB Tom Brady owns a 17-5 record against the New York Jets

New England has won 15 of its last 19 regular-season meetings with New York, including a 29-26 overtime victory as 11-point home favorites on Oct. 21, while going OVER the posted total of 47.5. The Patriots will be playing the next couple weeks without one of their top offensive weapons, with tight end Rob Gronkowski suffering a broken left forearm. “It’s part of this game,” stated Patriots quarterback Tom Brady. The franchise has tallied a 2-2 record when playing on Thanksgiving Day. New England is 9-0 ATS on the road when the total is between 45.5 and 49, which is important to consider when making your NFL picks against the spread in Week 12.

The Patriots are worthy road favorites on the pro football odds page, considering they enter the week with a three-game lead in the AFC East divisional standings, outscoring opponents by a 358-225 margin. Brady has tallied an impressive 17-5 record against the Jets in regular and postseason action. Since the 2010 campaign, New England has won its last 18 games in the second half of the regular season.

New York ended its three-game losing streak by coming away with a 27-13 win over the St. Louis Rams as 3.5-point road underdogs, while going OVER the total for the first time in three contests. “Right now, we’re just swinging,” stated Jets head coach Rex Ryan. “We’re going to focus on our opponents.” The Jets are hoping that signal-caller Mark Sanchez can build off last week’s performance, as he completed 15 of 20 passes for 178 yards and a touchdown. New York is 9-6 ATS versus division foes the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER going 12-4 in that situation.

The Jets understand the important of winning the turnover battle in this rivalry, as the winner has done just that in six of the last eight meetings. New York needs to get back to its ground-and-pound style on offense, especially since Thursday’s opponent has forced an AFC-leading 27 turnovers.