NCAA Football Week 11 Picks: Duke Blue Devils vs. Syracuse Orange

Duke Blue Devils vs. Syracuse Orange
Saturday, 11/8/14, 12:30 PM EST
Opening Point Spread:  Duke -4
Current Betting Line:  Duke -3.5
Opening Total:  48
Current Total:  51
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Syracuse Orange need to win out to become bowl eligible
The Syracuse Orange need to win out to become bowl eligible

Duke has won and covered the number in three consecutive affairs, including a 51-48 overtime victory over the Pittsburgh Panthers as three-point road underdogs last Saturday, while going OVER the betting total for the first time in four contests.  The Blue Devils are 15-1 SU in their last 16 regular season games dating back to 2013, which can’t be ignored when making your Week 11 NCAA football betting picks, while quarterback Anthony Boone has tossed 12 touchdown passes and just three interceptions this season.  Duke is 14-0 SU and 12-2 ATS as favorites the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 7-4-3 in that situation.

The Blue Devils have allowed just 19 third-quarter points this season, which is important to consider when looking over the NCAA football betting odds, as that figure leads the nation.  Duke has produced a 17-1 SU mark during the regular season with Boone under center, while the program has won six consecutive Atlantic Coast Conference games decided by seven or fewer points.  It’s important to point out that David Cutcliffe teams have produced a 46-7 SU record when allowing 20 or fewer points.

Syracuse has dropped back-to-back games, including a 24-17 defeat to the NC State Wolfpack as 2.5-point home favorites last week, while going UNDER the betting total for the fifth time in six affairs.  The Orange have had at least one sack in every game this season and one in 10 straight contests dating back to last year’s Texas Bowl versus Minnesota.  The stop unit has allowed just two of its 2014 opponents to go over 400 yards of total offense.  Syracuse is 6-3 SU and 8-1 ATS off a loss against conference rivals the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 5-4 in that situation.

The Orange must win out to become bowl eligible, as these two teams prepare to meet for the first time since the late 1930s.  Syracuse quarterback A.J. Long was sacked eight times and threw two interceptions last week, but he did manage to throw for 307 yards, which is a much-improved figure in comparison to passing for 420 combined yards in his first three starts.

Sports bettors will likely back the Blue Devils due to their 6-0 SUATS mark versus teams with a losing record the last two-plus seasons.

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