Time: 3:30 PM EST, Saturday
Spread: IND -2
Total: 56
Betting Odds from Bookmaker
The Iowa Hawkeyes have dropped their last two weeks to Penn State and Northwestern, and now enter this Big Ten showdown against Indiana as two point underdogs according to college football oddsmakers.
The story of the season for the Hawkeyes has been good defense and poor offense. They hold teams to 21 points per game, but average only 20, as their pass offense ranks near the bottom (100th) with just 192.1 yards per game, and they are producing only 133.8 on the ground for 88th in the nation.
In their past two weeks the Hawkeyes scored a combined 31 yards, and they had only 209 yards in their loss to Penn State. They had only 20 yards rushing in that game and converted just two of 12 third downs.
Senior QB James Vandenberg has been very mediocre, much like the team. He’s thrown five interceptions and been sacked 14 times, which renders him with a 104.8 QB rating. His completion ratio is 56.9 percent, and he has 1,537 yards on the season. He had a much better season last year, when he threw 25 TD passes and 3,022 yards.
Indiana ended a five game losing streak last week with a 31-17 win over Illinois. The Hoosiers offense has been good, but their defense has been pretty poor, and their 29 points allowed is bolstered by their game against UMass. They allowed 31 points or more in all five of the losses, but were able to keep the Fighting Illini in check last week.
The Hoosiers won the game despite having less total yardage (292 to 372), and freshman QB Nate Sudfeld had a solid game, completing two-thirds of his passes (10-15) for 107 yards, throwing two TD passes and finishing with a QB rating of 170.6.
Sudfeld has been above 60 percent completion ratio in all but one game (Northwestern, 9 of 16), and looks to be a huge prospect for Indiana moving forward. Standing 6’5″ 218, Sudfeld is tough enough to sustain the demands of the QB position.
He’s still in the shadow of Cameron Coffman for now, who has thrown for 1,384 yards on the season with a 63.4 percent completion ratio.
According to Kevin Wilson, both are backups though because Tre Roberson is the starter. The talent at the QB position will be the story of Indiana’s season moving forward.
Iowa Betting Trends:
Hawkeyes are 17-7-1 ATS in their last 25 following an ATS loss. 35-15-1 ATS in their last 51 after an SU loss, 18-8 ATS in their last 26 after allowing 200+ yards rushing in previous game, 6-13 ATS vs teams with losing records, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after allowing less than 170 yards passing, 0-6 ATS in their last 6 on the road vs teams with losing records.
Indiana Betting Trends:
Hoosiers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 overall, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 on turf, and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
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