NBA TV Odds, Picks: Philadelphia 76ers at New Orleans Pelicans

Philadelphia at New Orleans

Time: 7 PM CT (NBA TV)

Spread: NOP -1

Total: 239.5

Odds c/o 5dimes

PHI TEAM NOTES:

The Philadelphia 76ers have won six of its last 10 games. It is currently seeded No. 4 in the East, but it trails Conference-leading Milwaukee by 7.5 games.

Right now, it is simply trying to stay afloat with Simmons responsible for nearly everything with his rag-tag supporting cast. Butler is expected to return from his sprained wrist tonight.

The 2017 No. 1 overall pick Markelle Fultz was dealt to the Orlando Magic for Jonathan Simmons plus parts…and Jimmy Butler is a strong addition, but the Sixers have certainly missed the defensive presence Robert Covington gave them (he and Dario Saric were the two key players traded for Butler). The Sixers also are pretty heavily reliant on its top-end talent, and adding depth is not something that should be left out of consideration.

Perhaps, if the team can manage to swing it, a team would be willing to take on Fultz as a “reclamation” project while giving the Sixers some pieces it could use in its second unit. No matter what the case, it is entirely unclear how Fultz fits into any future plans and there are some certain holes on this roster that need addressing after giving up key pieces to acquire Butler this season.

NOP

New Orleans has lost six of its last 10 games, and the season is basically canceled with Anthony Davis having turned off his “effort button”. Patience is wearing thin in New Orleans, a team never able to perhaps maximize the immense talents of its superstar, Anthony Davis. Davis is fated to play the remainder of the season, with a heart that is no doubt already out of New Orleans. He shot 1 of 9 from the field against the Orlando Magic in a 30-point loss, and he hardly looked engaged at all.

Davis has been fantastically dominant over his career, but while Jrue Holiday has had an outstanding season in his own right, this team seems several pieces shy of having what it takes to contend in the Western Conference. Because of that, a lot of blame has been assigned to Davis, whose eventual future may not be in the Bayou. The former Kentucky Wildcat is averaging 28.9 points, 13.2 rebounds, 4.4 assists, 1.8 steals, and 2.7 blocks per game while posting a PER of 31.3, but outside of Holiday and Randle this team just lacks some of the pieces it needs to compete with the top teams in the West.

Holiday is averaging 20.7 points and Julius Randle adds another 19.8. Nikola Mirotic has battled injuries but ideally completes a solid top-4. Where the Pelicans fall apart mostly is due to its lack of depth. After E’Twaun Moore, the rotation falls off to a number of players with glaring offensive deficiencies, from Elfrid Payton’s sheer lack of shooting to Tim Frazier’s inconsistencies, the Pelicans bench begins to relay the reasons this team cannot manage to sustain the strong play of its starting-5, bolstered, of course, by Davis.

A lot of the blame has fallen on GM Dell Demps and his numerous dubious decisions. While gambling on DeMarcus Cousins may have made enough sense at the time, the Pelicans really could use the player it dealt to obtain Cousins in Buddy Hield. New Orleans needs another premier perimeter threat, shooting, and it needs a “three and D” small forward (like Robert Covington?) in the worst way. Without adding these necessary pieces the Pels can still knock off mediocre teams like tonight’s opponent, but making any meaningful ascent will elude this roster.

ATS TRENDS (C/o COVERS)

Philadelphia
  • 76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.
  • 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
  • 76ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.
  • 76ers are 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
  • 76ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
  • 76ers are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • 76ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Southwest.
New Orleans
  • Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.
  • Pelicans are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Pelicans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Pelicans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Pelicans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Pelicans are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a ATS win.
  • Pelicans are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win.
  • Pelicans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
  • Pelicans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Atlantic.
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