I”ve taken a look at 15 different lines set by Bodog for tonight’s player prop bets. Last time I went 6-8 with two pushes, for only the fourth night under .500 this season, and only by a bit. I’ve found some good lines for tonight that I promote betting on. Bets and odds are taken from Bodog.
Andrea Bargnani over/under 26.5 Pts+Rebs vs ATL
OVER. Last time he went for 29 Pts+rebs vs the Hawks and while he has been struggling lately, it helps that Atlanta has no one to follow Bargnani out to the three point line where he camps out on offense for the most part. He will need a big scoring night here because he won’t get many rebounds against the Hawks, but he should be able to score the ball well tonight.
Danny Granger over/under 23 pts vs CLE
OVER. Last game against Cleveland, Granger went bonkers, scoring 30 and grabbing 12 boards. In the other two games against the Cavs so far this year he had 22 and 34, giving him a 28.6 point average so far against the Cavs. I predict he goes out here and closes the season series strong with a big game.
J.J. Hickson over under 19.5 rebs+pts vs IND
OVER. Hickson is much quicker than all of Indiana’s front line (Josh McRoberts, Tyler Hansbrough, Jeff Foster, and Roy Hibbert) so he will get to the hole with regularity just on cuts to the basket. He’s been rebounding like a mad man lately too, averaging 12.75 rebounds per game over his last 4 games, 3 of which have exceeded tonight’s line.
Jrue Holiday over under 21.5 asts vs NJ
OVER. Last game against the Nets he went for 19 points and 5 assists. What’s more is that his stats on the road are better than at home, where he averages 14.5 points per game and 7.3 assists (21.8, over the line). He’s got the size to contend with Devin Harris. In the game before the last he had 20 points and 13 assists on November 27th.
Brook Lopez over under 28.5 Pts+Rebs vs PHI
OVER Though he is averaging 26 pts+rebs in two games against Philadelphia, I expect a big game tonight. Lopez has been on fire the last three games and has averaged 30.6 Pts+rebs over those games. He still hasn’t been rebounding, but he could be in for a big scoring night. I have trouble seeing how Spencer Hawes and Marreese Speights limited him in the previous two games.
Anthony Morrow over/under 12.5 pts vs PHI
OVER. Morrow is averaging 17 points per game over the past two games and 15.2 points per game over the last five games. It would be much higher if not for the 7 point game against Indiana, where he played only 18 minutes. Assuming he gets around 29-32 minutes a game, he should have no problem hoisting up enough shots to exceed 13 points.
D.J. Augustin over/under 24.5 pts+asts vs DET
OVER. He went for 27 points and 4 assists last game against the Pistons, but would have fallen short of this line in the first meeting when he scored 12 and dished out 8 assists. But the big second game was during the tenure of now-coach Paul Silas, and Charlotte’s entire teams’ stats have increased since Silas replaced Larry Brown.
Tracy McGrady over/under 12.5 pts vs CHA
OVER. Over his last 4 games he has put up 12, 14, 14, 20. That makes this a wise bet percentage wise, and though it is irrelevant to this bet, his high assists numbers over those games indicate he will receive a lot of “usage” offensively.
Dirk Nowitzki over/under 31.5 pts+rebs Vs NYK
OVER. He’s had a great career against the Knicks, and it doesn’t hurt that they now play at such a break neck pace. In 22 career games against the Knicks, Nowitzki has averaged 24.1 points per game and 8.9 rebounds per game.
Raymond Felton over/under 23.5 pts+asts VS DAL
OVER. While Kidd is an able bodied defender, he’s not fast enough to cover Felton any more and the result should be a lot of dribble penetration. Felton’s last 4 games’ assists have been 5, 13, 7, 15, and in both of the two big assist games he topped the 23.5 total. If he can get his teammates involved and have them capitalize on his passes, he should pass this.
Zach Randolph over/under 35.5 pts+rebs vs MIN
UNDER. Randolph’s last 4 pts+asts totals have been 19., 44, 34, and 36. But tonight though he is going against one of the worst teams in the league, the Wolves actually have a tough front line that rebounds extremely well. If Randolph is going to exceed this total he will have to do it with his scoring because he isn’t going to get 20 boards going against Kevin Love.
Chris Paul over/under 27 pts+asts vs OKC
Over the three meetings between New Orleans and Oklahoma City, Chris Paul is averaging 29.3 pts+asts. While Westbrook is a good defender, Chris Paul is still arguably the best point guard in the league and finds a way to get his no matter who is covering him. He’s proven already that he can handle Westbrook’s defense.
Kevin Durant over/under 29.5 pts vs NOH
Under. Ariza has held Durant to 22, 24, and 26 points in the last three meetings and has only a better idea of Durant’s tricks now after playing him for three games this year already. Ariza is a student of the game and undoubtedly is familiar with all of Durant’s moves by now.
Wesley Matthews over/under 16.5 pts vs DEN
OVER. While Matthews is consistently one of the tougher players to gauge, he did score 20 in one of the two meetings while mustering only 6 in the last. Denver’s fast paced game should be to Matthews’ advantage though and he will likely put up big numbers.
Paul Millsap over/under 18.5 pts vs HOU
OVER. Millsap lit Houston up for 27 points and 10 boards last game and Scola really has his hands full with Millsap. Both are physical players but Millsap finds a way to tire out even the best of them with his constant banging inside and then he takes them outside for open jumpers after they can’t keep up with him any more.
