Last night out I went 8 for 10, and would have been 9 for 10 if not for the Timberwolves game going into overtime, allowing Beasley to pass the over in extra play. I missed my “hot pick” in DeRozan, who fell one point short due to Barbosa coming in and catching fire, causing DeRozan’s minutes to fall a bit.
For the season player prop bets, if you took my advice, you’d see that I stand at 48-24-2 on the year so far (if the season ended today). So join the gravy train on player prop bets. You won’t get any other free predictions on Maddux, so take advantage of these. Here’s the selected player prop bets for tonight’s games. Bets and odds are taken from Bodog.
Danny Granger over/under 22 points vs ATL
UNDER. Last game against the Hawks, Granger went for 22, and that was at home. He’s only averaging 20.9 on the year and will be facing the stellar defense of Josh Smith. Moreover, he has been under 20 points for 4 of his last 5 games and his only game over 20 in that stretch was against the defense-less Knicks.
Who will score more Dunleavy or Rush? Vs ATL
DUNLEAVY.
Last 6 games:
Rush 6, Dunleavy 14 vs SAS
Rush 12, Dunleavy 4 vs NYK
Rush 11, Dunleavy 3 vs WAS
Dunleavy 20, Rush 8 vs WAS
Rush 17, Dunleavy 9 vs BOS
Dunleavy 10, Rush 7 vs MEM
Averages: Rush 10.1 ppg, Dunleavy 10.0
Last game vs ATL: Dunleavy 16, Rush 14
As you can see it’s pretty darn near even, but Dunleavy had the upper hand against Atlanta last game. Rush has beat him in the last 3 games, but Dunleavy also beat him in minutes 38-32 last game vs the Hawks.
Joe Johnson over/under 21.5 pts vs IND
OVER. Johnson has averaged 28 ppg over the last 3 games and Rush and Dunleavy (mentioned above) aren’t exactly good defenders. Joe Johnson did not play last game against Indiana, so we can’t use that as a measuring stick, but his hot play of recent games suggests he will go over for tonight’s game.
Andrew Bogut over/under 26 Pts+Rebs vs NJN
UNDER. Other than his dominant performance on Wednesday night, he has been under this line for 4 of the last 5 games. Going against star center Brook Lopez won’t help his cause and last game against the Hawks he only had 8 points and 6 rebounds. Also, for his career against the Nets he is averaging 11.9 points per game and 9.1 rebounds per game, 5 under the line. Furthermore, his play on the road this year hasn’t been that great with averages of 11.8 points per game and 9.9 rebounds per game.
Jrue Holiday over/under 24 Pts+Asts vs DET
OVER. Holiday has been over this line in 5 of his last 6 games, the lone exception being a slow paced defensive game against the Hornets. Last game against the Bulls he went for 25 pts+asts and Stuckey isn’t quite the defender Derrick Rose is.
Rajon Rondo 24.5 Pts+Asts vs CHI
OVER. Bodog has set the line according to his season average which is 24.3 Pts+Rebs. This is a big game, however, and Rondo has a way for showing up for big games. Last game against the Bulls he went for 12 pts and 19 assists, clearly passing the over, and he should perform similarly tonight.
Dwight Howard over/under 34 Pts+Rebs
OVER. He murdered Chandler last game against Dallas for a 20-20 night and I don’t see why it won’t happen again. Chandler poses no problem for Howard on defense giving him the opportunity to crash the boards hard without regard to covering Chandler. I expect another 20-20 game from Howard tonight.
Tyson Chandler over/under 21 Pts+Rebs
UNDER. His season average is 18.5 and he’s going against Dwight Howard tonight. That’s all that really needs to be said on this one.
