NBA Selected Player Prop Bets for January 11th, 2011

Well, last week I ended up going 17-8-1 for the week, so if you followed my advice you should have turned a pretty nice profit.  Again, you won’t see any other free predictions on Maddux, so you’re wise to take advantage of my winning picks while you can.  Tonight’s lines offer a lot of ‘overs’ that look enticing, particularly the two bets involving Kevin Love, who has dominated the Spurs this year, but Bodog set the lines according to his season averages.  Let’s take a look at the eight best Player prop bets I found on Bodog tonight.

Granger has historically had poor games against Iguodala and the Sixers

Danny Granger over/under 22.5 pts vs PHI

UNDER.  Iguodala is likely to play tonight and is a lockdown defender.  If you’ve been following these prop bets, I usually key in on Iguodala’s man and pick the ‘under,’ and thus far it has worked out.  Moreover, Granger’s career average against the Sixers is only 15.9 points per game and he is only averaging 20.8 points per game on the road this year.  Most telling of all is that Iguodala held him to 2 of 14 shooting and 7 points (!) last matchup on November 3rd, Granger’s lowest output of the season.

Jrue Holiday over/under  20.5 Pts+Asts vs IND

OVER.  Holiday has exceeded this line for the last 3 games and for 7 of the last 8.  Add to that the fact that he’s averaging 21.4 on the year, and I think this is a pretty good bet for ‘over.’

DeMarcus Cousins over/under 24 Pts+Rebs vs WAS

OVER.  He has been over this in 5 of his last 6 games, and the game he wasn’t it was a push, with 24 exactly.  Last game he went for 18 pts & 10 rebs and he has scored 20+ in 3 of the last 6 games.  Bodog finally seems to have wisened up by highering the line on Cousins, as they were setting it based on his season average for a while, but it is still too low in my opinion.  He should have no problem establishing good post position against JaVale McGee, and while McGee is a good defender, he’s not that great in one on one defense, he’s more of a team defender.

Rashard Lewis over/under 14 pts vs SAC

OVER.  Lewis has went over for four of his last five games, with the sole inclusion being a stinker against the Bobcats, in which he only played 27 minutes  and attempted only 5 shots.  In the four games prior to that he saw 38 minutes or more and he has attempted 10 or more shots in every game as a Wizard so far except the Charlotte game.

Kevin Love over/under 22.5 pts vs SAS

OVER.  He’s averaging 25 points per game against the Spurs in their three meetings this seasno and has already had a 32 point, 22 rebound game in their four point loss on November 24th.  He’s also averaging 22.7 points per game at home this year, which would indicate he would be ‘over’ on this one.

Kevin Love over/under 15.5 rebs vs SAS

OVER.  He’s averaging 19 rebounds per game in the three meetings this year and has been at 17 or over for all three.  While I understand 15.5 is at about his season average it seems Bodog Oddsmakers have again completely ignored his performances against the Spurs.  He’s also had 17 or more rebounds in 3 of the past 4 games for good measure.

Vince Carter over/under 17.5 pts vs DEN

OVER.  He’s averaging 17.5 points per game since coming to  Phoenix and he’s going against the fast paced Nuggets tonight.  In his last game with Orlando against the Nuggets he went for 18, and Phoenix is a much faster paced team than Orlando so all things considered, Carter should score 20 tonight.  He’s had 18 or more in 4 of his 6 games since being activated post-trade.

Antawn Jamison over/under 21 pts vs LAL

UNDER.  Jamison has a 17.7 point career average against the Lakers and he’s only averaging 17.3 points per game on the road this year.  While he has had 21 or more in all four of his last four games, I predict that the combination of being on the road and going against the Lakers’ frontline plus the “blowout factor” (meaning a rest and reduction of minutes) will result in Jamison scoring under 20 tonight.

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