Tonight Bodog is offering some interesting prop bets. I’ve tried not to pick as many games tonight because the lines on the ones that are up are pretty on point and accurate. Nonetheless, I did pick 9 lines that I thought offered favorable odds.
Jrue Holiday over/under 17.5 pts+asts vs ATL
OVER. The advantage Jrue Holiday has on Mike Bibby cannot be understated. Holiday is a 6’5″, quick, physical guard, and Bibby is well…a 6’0″ waterbug that is no longer quick or capable on defense. Last game against the Hawks, Holiday did terrible, but I see that changing tonight. Holiday recently had a triple double against the Nets and seems like he’s due to have another big game. His play has been inconsistent, so I am sticking my neck out here, but I think Jrue does it tonight.
Joe Johson over/under 22.5 pts vs PHI
OVER. Johnson has been at 27 or more points in 4 of his last 8 games and has averaged 25 a game over the past 3 games. He did not play in the last matchup these teams had, but tonight will be covered by the offensive-minded Jodie Meeks. Meeks isn’t a bad defender, but it often takes very good defense to slow down Joe Johnson.
Blake Griffin over/under 24.5 pts vs ORL
OVER. Griffin is going to be covered by Ryan Anderson and Earl Clark. He’s simply too good and experienced (yes, I said a rookie is experienced) to be slowed down by that tandem of defenders. Howard will be there at the rim, but I don’t expect Dwight to challenge every Blake Griffin dunk. He doesn’t want to break his hand.
Blake Griffin over/under 12.0 rebs vs ORL
OVER. Griffin has had 12 rebounds or more in 11 of his last 16 games and had 16 last game against Miami. Orlando is not really that good of a rebounding team, and I expect Blake to have a monster game on the boards too. Dwight Howard, again, will be there, but Griffin will get his fair share of rebounds.
Manu Ginobili over/under 18 pts vs DET
UNDER. This game against the Pistons should be slow paced, resulting in less opportunities for Ginobili to have a big scoring game. Moreover, in his last three games he has averaged 13.3 points per game and has not scored more than 17 in all three games. Detroit has capable defenders and decent bigs in Ben Wallace and Monroe, so Ginobili will be tested at the rim.
LeBron James over/under 26 pts vs IND
After scoring 51 in Orlando, James turned in two sub-par performances. Tonight will change that. James won’t come in and have another mediocre game after already recording two back to back and he’ll come in for a big night tonight against the Pacers. I think he scores in the mid 30s.
Andrea Bargnani over/under 26.5 pts+rebs vs. MIL
OVER. He had 27 pts+rebs last game against the Bucks and he had 30 pts and 6 boards last game against Minnesota. He’s shooting the ball well and is not going to find Bogut coming out to meet him on the floor.
Kevin Durant over/under 30.5 pts vs MEM
OVER. Last game against Memphis Durant had 40 and he’s averaging 31.2 points per game at home this year. He’s averaging 34.6 points per game over his last 6 games and has had three 40+ point games over that span. Over the last two he is only averaging 22.5 points, but that is only the more reason he will score 40 again tonight.
Serge Ibaka over/under 16.0 pts+rebs vs MEM
OVER. Last game he went for 9 pts and 7 rebs, tieing this line. He’s put up 20+ pts+rebs in two of his last three games and he’s played 29 & 33 minutes in the those two games.
