NBA Predictions: Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets

Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets
Wednesday, 3/5/14, 8:05 PM EST
Opening Point Spread: Dallas -4
Current Betting Line: Dallas -4
Opening Total: 216.5
Current Total: 216.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Denver Nuggets are 0-3 SU as home underdogs of 3.5 to 6 points this season

Dallas has dropped back-to-back games, including a 112-106 defeat to the San Antonio Spurs as 6.5-point road underdogs Sunday, while going OVER the betting total of 208.5. The Mavericks are 17-15 SU on the road, including a 7-10 mark versus Western Conference opponents, which is important to consider when making your NBA predictions Wednesday night. The team has recorded 13-or-fewer turnovers for the 11th time in its last 14 games. Dallas is 7-6 SU and 4-9 ATS as road favorites of 3.5 to 6 points the last two-plus seasons.

The Mavericks have been getting major production from Vince Carder, who has scored 15-plus points in each of his last five games—averaging 18.8 points, 4.4 rebounds and 3.2 assists over that span. Dallas is 15-8 SU when scoring 30-plus points in the opening frame, while going 10-2 when scoring 60-plus points in the opening half—something to consider when looking over the pro basketball odds page.

Denver has dropped six games in a row, including a 132-128 defeat to the Minnesota Timberwolves as 5.5-point home underdogs Monday night, while going OVER the betting total for the first time in five contests. The Nuggets have four of five probable starters averaging double figures, with point guard Ty Lawson leading the way at 18.3 points a contest. He has scored 10 or more points in 41 of 43 games played during the 2013-14 campaign. Denver is 0-3 SU and 2-1 ATS as home underdogs of 3.5 to 6 points this season.

The Nuggets have one of the best benches in the league, with the group ranking third in the league in averaging 38.8 points per game, while topping the NBA in grabbing 18.1 rebounds a contest. Denver is just 6-4 at home against Dallas since the 2008-09 season, while it has compiled a 13-8 record in head-to-head match-ups in the last 21 overall meetings.