NBA Playoff Predictions: Golden State Warriors vs. San Antonio Spurs, Game 5

Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs
Tuesday, 5/14/13, 9:30 PM EST, TV: TNT
Opening Point Spread: San Antonio -7
Current Betting Line: San Antonio -7
Opening Total: 195
Current Total: 195
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The San Antonio Spurs are 10-6 ATS as home favorites of 6.5 to 9 points since the start of the 2012-13 NBA regular season

Golden State evened up this best-of-seven series at 2-2, as it came away with a 97-87 overtime victory over the San Antonio Spurs as two-point home underdogs Sunday, while going UNDER the total for a third consecutive contest. “This team will not lay down,” commented Warriors head coach Mark Jackson. The Warriors outscored the Spurs by a 25-7 margin over the final 4:49 of regulation and overtime, which is important to consider when making your NBA picks against the spread. Golden State is 12-6 ATS as road underdogs of 6.5 to 9 points, with the OVER going 10-8 in that situation.

The Warriors are being led on the offensive end by point guard Stephen Curry, who is averaging 25.0 points and 8.3 assists in the 2013 NBA playoffs, but he attempted just 15 shots in Game 4. Golden State is 6-1 in the postseason when he scores 20 or more points, while losing all three games when he fails to hit that number. The team has won the battle of the boards in the first four games of this series.

San Antonio returns home after failing to close the deal last time out, but has to be happy with the recent play of sixth man Manu Ginobili, who finished with 21 points last time out. The Spurs were held to 35.5 percent shooting, which was their worst performance from the field in the postseason since 2009. This is the 11th time the franchise has played a Game 5 tied under coach Gregg Popovich, with the squad producing a 7-3 record in that situation. San Antonio is 10-6 ATS as home favorites of 6.5 to 9 points this season.

The Spurs will continue to lean heavily on forward Tim Duncan and point guard Tony Parker on the offensive end, as they are combining to average 42.6 points in the postseason. Since moving to the AT&T Center during the 2002-03 season, San Antonio is 57-20 in the playoffs, which happens to be the most such wins at home for any team in the league over that span.