Tip off: 10:35 PM EST
Spread: LAL -11
Total: 186
M/L: LAL -725, GSW +575
Things have gone OK at Oracle Arena for the Warriors, but they will be facing a tough Lakers team tonight in the Staples center and find themselves heavy underdogs as they fight for their first road win of the season. Wednesday night, they fell to the Spurs, despite an absolutely monster game from Monta Ellis. Ellis attempted 30 of the Warriors 80 field goal attempts, hitting half of them, en route to 38 points to go with his 7 assists. Stephen Curry has been battling ankle problems and is still day-to-day. Curry’s injury problems are beginning to concern Warriors brass, who had figured on making Curry the focus of the team’s “re” building effort (It’s hard to call it rebuilding when nothing was built prior).
The Lakers have started the season a disappointing 4-4. Kobe Bryant has continued to silence any and all doubters regarding his decline as a player, putting up 26.4 ppg, 6.5 rpg, and 5.6 apg, in 35 minutes a night. Bryant commented that when he retires he’s going to be “gone before anyone notices.” I hope that time isn’t coming soon, because though it’s fashionable to hate the Lakers, I find Kobe’s work ethic and killer instinct refreshing in a league filled with prima donnas.
Golden State Betting Trends:
The Warriors are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games and the total has gone UNDER in 10 of their last 13 games . The Warriors are 1-11 SU in their last 12 on the road and they are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 on the road. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the Warriors’ last 6 games against the Lakers and the Warriors are 1-12 SU in their last 13 against L.A. The total has gone UNDER In 4 of the Warriors’ last 5 games on the road against the Lakers and the Warriors are 0-5 SU in their last 5 on the road against the Lakers.
L.A. Betting Trends:
The Lakers are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games and the total has gone UNDER In 6 of the Lakers’ last 8 games. The Lakers are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games and 4-2 SU in their last 6 games, while the total has gone UNDER in 5 of their last 6 at home. The Lakers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 home games and 12-1 SU in their last 13 against GS. The Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 against GS, and the total has gone UNDER in 4 of the Lakers’ last 6 games against the Warriors. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the Lakers last 5 against GS and they are 5-0 SU in those games. The Lakers are 6-10-2 ATS in their last 18 games against the Warriors at home.
Key Matchup:
Monta Ellis vs. Kobe Bryant
This is a great matchup between two of the very best scorers in the NBA. Monta Ellis is a great run and gun guard and is on the perfect team for his skill set. His speed in the open court is nearly unparallleled, but he will have trouble scoring on Kobe in the half court set. Moreover, Ellis is going to have a tough time contesting Kobe’s shots since he is 3″ shorter. Expect Bryant to take Ellis into the post as much as possible to utilize this size advantage. Still, both should have huge games in a game which is quite possibly going to go over the total of 186, even likely so. With Bryant and Ellis squaring off, and the Warriors trying to push the pace, a final score with both teams approaching 100 is reasonable.
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