NBA on ESPN Odds, Trends: Milwaukee Bucks at Oklahoma City Thunder

Milwaukee at Oklahoma City
Time: 5 PM CT (ESPN)
Spread: MIL -1
Total: 235

Odds c/o 5dimes

OKC TEAM NOTES:

The Thunder are 30-18 and in second place in the Northwest Division.

?OKC is 16-7 at home this season and it is 12-4 against Eastern Conference teams. The Bucks are 13-8 on the road, but it has posted a 12-5 mark against the West.

Oklahoma City is a team built around its stars Russell Westbrook and Paul George, but free-agent acquisition Dennis Schroder has been huge for OKC. He gives the Thunder a third guard to alleviate some of the playmaking responsibilities from Westbrook, and he is having a tremendous season off the Thunder bench. Averaging 15.4 points per game in 29.2 minutes a night, he should be in every Sixth Man of the Year conversation.
Westbrook is having another tremendous season, too, of course. For the third consecutive season, he is averaging a triple-double with 21.7 points, 10.7 rebounds, and 10.6 assists per game to his credit. Naysayers are quick to deride Westbrook for his inefficiencies, but it stands to reason that without him OKC easily could be the worst team in the West.

Westbrook’s impact goes far beyond the “counting stats” given that he provides leadership and tutelage to the younger players on the roster, not to mention complementing Steven Adams well as a 1-5 combo. Adams averages 15.4 points and 10.0 rebounds per game, and while both those figures could be deflated from playing with Westbrook, it is just as easy to argue that he fits best with the enigmatic personality that Russ can be at times.

MIL TEAM NOTES: 

The Milwaukee Bucks have won six straight to improve to 35-12 on the season. It holds a 3.5 game lead in the Central Division over the Indiana Pacers. Most recently, it defeated the Charlotte Hornets 99-108, and it has held five of its past six opponents under 108 points.

The Bucks have a top-2 or 3 to rival any team in the East. Giannis Antetokounmpo is turning in an MVP-caliber season with his 26.6 points, 12.6 rebounds, 5.9 assists, 1.39 steals and 1.45 blocks per game. His PER leads the Bucks at 29.5. Khris Middleton is quietly having another superb season as the No. 2 scorer. Middleton averages 17.3 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 4.1 assists per game.

Eric Bledsoe has fit in well since becoming a Buck. He joins Middleton in the backcourt as the No. 3 scorer, good for 15.8 points per game. 2017 Rookie of the Year Malcolm Brogdon is steady and consistent. He has averaged 15.7 points and 1.00 blocks/steals per game and is one of the team’s best defenders. The Bucks are the league’s top rebounding team at 49.0 boards per game, and it has the No. 7 defense in the league in allowing 107.4 per game. The Bucks also possess the No. 2 offense, averaging 117.4 points per game. Its positive 10-point differential is best in the East.

ATS TRENDS:

Milwaukee
  • Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Sunday games.
  • Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Northwest.
  • Bucks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
  • Bucks are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
  • Bucks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Bucks are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Bucks are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Bucks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Bucks are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall.
  • Bucks are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Oklahoma City
  • Thunder are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.
  • Thunder are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Thunder are 42-20-3 ATS in their last 65 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
  • Thunder are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games.

OU TRENDS:

Milwaukee
  • Under is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 vs. Western Conference.
  • Under is 5-0 in Bucks last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Over is 9-1 in Bucks last 10 Sunday games.
  • Under is 7-1 in Bucks last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Under is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Under is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Under is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 overall.
  • Under is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 9-3 in Bucks last 12 road games.
  • Under is 15-5 in Bucks last 20 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 6-2 in Bucks last 8 games following a ATS loss.
  • Over is 15-7 in Bucks last 22 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Oklahoma City
  • Over is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 games following a straight up win.
  • Over is 5-0 in Thunder last 5 home games.
  • Over is 8-1 in Thunder last 9 overall.
  • Over is 8-1 in Thunder last 9 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 7-1 in Thunder last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 6-1 in Thunder last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-1 in Thunder last 6 games following a ATS loss.
  • Under is 4-1 in Thunder last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
  • Under is 8-3 in Thunder last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Over is 5-2 in Thunder last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Under is 21-9 in Thunder last 30 vs. NBA Central.
  • Under is 38-17 in Thunder last 55 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
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