Houston at Phoenix
Time: 8 PM CT (NBA LP)
Spread: HOU -6.5
Total: 228
Odds c/o 5dimes
Phoenix has dropped 10-straight games and is the third-worst team in the league, behind (in the tanking standings) only the L.A. Lakers and Brooklyn Nets. The Suns have been pleased with the play of its youngsters, but the team does not shoot the ball well for having such a guard-heavy roster.
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Eric Bledsoe may end up becoming trade bait should the Suns secure a top-three pick in the 2017 draft, which is loaded with point guards. Devin Booker has solidified himself as the franchise’s star player at the 2-guard spot, and it makes more sense to pair a “true” point guard with him, than the explosive but poor-shooting Bledsoe.
Phoenix also has a glut of talented young forwards, including Alan Williams, Dragan Bender and Marquese Chriss. All three should eventually be good players, and Williams has already been playing some very effective ball in the post. Phoenix has a nice bevy of young players to build around, but Jeff Hornacek’s 2018 roster should ideally feature another veteran outside of Tyson Chandler, who has done his job as the elder statesmen in Phoenix.
For a 22-win team, the Suns should have a lot of hope, and this draft could yield another GM for the Suns. Given all the hype around the L.A. Lakers core, the Suns likely have the more promising immediate future, even considering the Lakers seem to be a sure bet to land Paul George in the summer of 2018 when he becomes an unrestricted free agent. The Suns may not strike free agent gold, but it also may not need to.
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James Harden and the Rockets have been hot. Houston has won six of its past 10 SU, and is 23-15 on the road this season. Houston has lost its past two contests, to the Portland Trail Blazers and Golden State Warriors, but those ‘Ls’ were preceded by four-consecutive wins, including back-to0back wins over the surging Denver Nuggets.
Houston sits at No.3 in the West, and has to be thought of in some senses as legitimate contenders, given both their record and the fact that Harden himself represents one of the league’s premier talents.
While Harden’s postseason track record has been spotty at best, that potentially could lend to the notion that this is his, and Mike D’Antoni’s, season. Houston could potentially shock any of the top NBA teams, because the Rockets can fill it up. And this is a scoring era. While many may deride Harden’s defensive efforts, and D’Antoni’s lack of philosophies regarding defense in general—but Houston is winning, and that is what matters to Houston. While the model may not yield long-term postseason success, this is D’Antoni’s latest and perhaps most brilliant iteration of it.
Rather than basing it on several talents as he did with Steve Nash, Shawn Marion and Amare Stoudemire, he is doing it mostly on the hands of James Harden. Harden made the move to point guard at D’Antoni’s behest, and the result is that Beard now leads the league in assists. It is hard to question the mind of D’Antoni from an offensive perspective, but the matter remains whether that style of coaching, can, in fact, produce the elusive and coveted rings.
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ATS TRENDS
| Houston |
- Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Rockets are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 vs. NBA Pacific.
- Rockets are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
- Rockets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Rockets are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games following a straight up loss.
- Rockets are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 Sunday games.
- Rockets are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
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| Phoenix |
- Suns are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Suns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Suns are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Suns are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Suns are 54-26-3 ATS in their last 83 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
- Suns are 12-25-1 ATS in their last 38 vs. Western Conference.
- Suns are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
- Suns are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.
- Suns are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Suns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Suns are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
- Suns are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest.
- Suns are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
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OU TRENDS
| Houston |
- Over is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 games following a straight up loss.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 games following a ATS loss.
- Under is 8-1-1 in Rockets last 10 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 vs. Western Conference.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 15-6 in Rockets last 21 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
- Under is 5-2 in Rockets last 7 vs. NBA Pacific.
- Over is 36-16 in Rockets last 52 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 11-5 in Rockets last 16 Sunday games.
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| Phoenix |
- Over is 4-0 in Suns last 4 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Suns last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Under is 7-1 in Suns last 8 games following a ATS loss.
- Under is 5-1 in Suns last 6 Sunday games.
- Over is 5-1 in Suns last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 4-1 in Suns last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Over is 4-1 in Suns last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Suns last 5 games following a straight up loss.
- Under is 4-1 in Suns last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
- Over is 4-1 in Suns last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 21-7 in Suns last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 6-2 in Suns last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 15-6 in Suns last 21 home games.
- Under is 7-3 in Suns last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 16-7 in Suns last 23 vs. NBA Southwest.
- Over is 35-16 in Suns last 51 vs. Western Conference.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
- Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Phoenix.
- Rockets are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Phoenix.
- Rockets are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
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