NBA Eastern Conference Game 6 Odds: Boston Celtics at Milwaukee Bucks–Trends, Picks

Khris Middleton dropped 23 points in the Bucks’ game 5 loss.

Boston at Milwaukee – Game 6
Time: 7 PM CT (TNT)
Spread: MIL -4.5
Total: 201

Odds c/o 5dimes

The Boston Celtics won the crucial “swing game” in Game 5, and now it travels back to Milwaukee in attempt to close this series out in six games. The Bucks are still 4.5-point favorites as Game 6 tips off at 7 PM (Central) on TNT, with a betting total at 201 points according to NBA oddsmakers at bookmaker 5dimes.

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In Game 5, the Celtics slowed the pace down to a crawl and held the Bucks to 37 percent shooting and just 87 points. It allowed Boston to win despite not having any major offensive standouts. Al Horford did drop 22 points, 14 rebounds, and three assists, but Jayson Tatum laid an egg relatively with just eight points. The C’s starting backcourt of Terry Rozier and Jaylen Brown combined for 30 points on 9 of 23 shooting.

Boston shot just 42 percent and turned it over 17 times, but it was able to start the game strong, leading 48-37 at the half. Boston will look to get more out of its trio of young wing players in Game 6 to avoid this series going to a decisive seventh game in Boston.

As for the Bucks, Giannis Antetokounpo had one of his quieter games, attempting just 10 field goals but still falling just one assist shy of a triple-double with 16 points, 10 boards, and nine dimes. Khris Middleton shot 9 of 21 from the field for 23 points, but subtracting Middleton and Giannis, the Bucks were just 13 of 56 from the field, which is about as woeful as it gets.

Second-year center Thon Maker fouled out in 23 ineffective minutes off the bench, and (big stiff) Tyler Zeller did close to nothing with the start. The Bucks sorely need defensive standout John Henson back, who ranks No. 2 in the postseason stats for shots contested. Without Henson, the Bucks defense has suffered, and somehow, its offense too. Zeller and Maker are both close to total non-factors, while Horford is going nuts with Henson out of the lineup.

It is an underrated key to Boston closing this series that Henson has been out and the Bucks “D” has gone kaput.

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ATS TRENDS

Boston
  • Celtics are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 Conference Quarterfinals games.
  • Celtics are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Central.
  • Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.
  • Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Celtics are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Celtics are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Celtics are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
  • Celtics are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
  • Celtics are 41-18-2 ATS in their last 61 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Celtics are 36-16 ATS in their last 52 road games.
Milwaukee
  • Bucks are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Bucks are 15-32-4 ATS in their last 51 home games.
  • Bucks are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
  • Bucks are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Bucks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • Bucks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Bucks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Atlantic.
  • Bucks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Bucks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Conference Quarterfinals games.

OU TRENDS

Boston
  • Over is 6-0 in Celtics last 6 games following a straight up win.
  • Over is 8-1 in Celtics last 9 overall.
  • Over is 8-1 in Celtics last 9 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Over is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 vs. NBA Central.
  • Over is 6-1-1 in Celtics last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Over is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Over is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 road games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games.
  • Over is 7-2-1 in Celtics last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Milwaukee
  • Over is 11-1 in Bucks last 12 games following a straight up loss.
  • Over is 11-1 in Bucks last 12 vs. NBA Atlantic.
  • Over is 8-1 in Bucks last 9 home games.
  • Over is 7-1 in Bucks last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Over is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Over is 14-3 in Bucks last 17 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Over is 14-3 in Bucks last 17 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Over is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games.
  • Over is 20-6 in Bucks last 26 overall.
  • Under is 10-3 in Bucks last 13 Thursday games.
  • Over is 16-5 in Bucks last 21 games following a ATS loss.
  • Over is 6-2 in Bucks last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
  • Over is 5-2 in Bucks last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Celtics are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
  • Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Milwaukee.
  • Celtics are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Milwaukee.
  • Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
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