Tip Off: 8:05 PM EST
Spread: OKC -12
Total: 197.5
M/L: OKC -900, PHX +650
Phoenix was finally able to capture their first win of the season after starting out 0-2. They played the lowly Hornets last night and won by 15, as six different Suns scored in double figures, paced by Hakim Warricks’ 18 points. Two time MVP Steve Nash is shooting a highly uncharacteristic 31% from the fllor and averaging only 8.8 points per game. While it’s nothing to get alarmed about yet, it is worth keeping an eye on. The Suns are clearly rebuilding and a lot of teams are going to be vying for Nash’s services as the trade deadline approaches.
Oklahoma City is doing their best to show they are contenders. They are off to a 4-0 start with victories over Orlando, Minnesota, Memphis, and a buzzer beating win over the defending champion Mavericks. Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook have fueded a little, but winning is the best remedy for all of that, and if the Thunder continue to roll through this season, any friction may be lubricated by the sweetness of victory.
Phoenix Suns Betting Trends:
Phoenix is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games and the total has gone UNDER in 5 of their last 6. The Suns are 5-10 SU in their last 15 games and they are 2-6 SU in their last 8 on the road. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the Suns’ last 5 games on the road and the Suns are 1-4 SU in their last 5 against OKC. The Suns are 11-5 SU in their last 16 against OKC, and they are 6-12-1 ATS in their last 19 against OKC. The total has gone OVER in 6 of the Suns’ last 7 games against OKC, and the total has gone OVER in 4 of their last 5 road games vs OKC. The Suns are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games against OKC and they are 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 on the road vs OKC. The total has gone UNDER in 16 of the Suns’ last 23 games on the road against OKC.
OKC Thunder Betting Trends:
OKC is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games nad they are 18-5 SU in their last 23 home games. The Thunder are 5-11 SU in their last 16 against Phoenix and they are 4-1 SU in their last 5 against the Suns. The total has gone OVER in 6 of the Thunders’ last 7 games against the Suns and the total has gone UNDER in 16 of the last 23 against Phx. The total has gone OVER in 4 of the Thunders’ last 5 games at home vs PHX, and the the Thunder are 2-6 SU in their lsat 8 games at home against PHX.
Key Matchups:
Jared Dudley vs. Kevin Durant
Dudley probably is a good enough defender to shut down the likes of Paul Pierce and the second tier of NBA small forwards, but really no one does much of a job against Durant. Durant’s 6’10” length will frustrate the 6’8″ Dudley, and Durant will be able to rest on defense for the most part, leaving him fresh to demolish the Suns offensively. Really, this game could get ugly fast if Durant doesn’t take it easy on the second night of a back to back.
If you like this analysis and feel it will help you back up a bet, we suggest Bookmaker where these odds were drawn from. They offer a 5% return on lost bets. Also, consider our paid pick plans here at Maddux as we promise to kill the books again!
