Tip off: 9:05 PM EST
Spread: DEN -12
Total: 202.5
M/L: DEN -1200, UTA +800
Odds taken from Bookmaker
Denver came out with guns a’blazin’ against the defending champion Mavericks last night and never looked back. The Nuggets put up 115 points, with five players in double figures, and Ty Lawson’s 27 points leading the way. Because of that, and the fact that it is a home game, the total is accordingly set high at 202.5. Remember, Denver scored 8 more points per game at home than they did on the road last season.
Utah started out the season with a horrible loss to the then 0-2 Lakers. Paul Millsap was the only Jazz player to have a decent game and they received a total of 30 points from their entire starting lineup, with no starter reaching double figures.
Betting trends:
Utah is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games and the total has gone UNDER in 8 of their last 10 games. The Jazz are 3-11 SU in their last 14 games and 2-8 SU in their last 10 on the road. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of their last 7 raod games and it has gone OVER In 8 of the Jazz’ last 12 games against Denver. Utah is 6-3 SU in their last 9 against the Nuggets and they are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 18 against Denver. The total has gone OVER in 6 of the Jazz’ last 7 on the road against Denver and they are 2-7 SU in their last 9 road games in Denver. Utah is 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 road games against Denver.
Denver is 17-5-2 ATS in their last 24 games and they are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games. The Nuggets are 13-2 SU in their last 15 home games and 2-2-2 ATS in their last 6 at home. The total has gone OVER in 8 of Denver’s last 12 games against the Jazz and they are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games against Utah. The Nuggets are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games against Utah and they are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games against Utah. The total has gone OVER in 6 of the Nuggets’ last 7 games at home against the Utah Jazz.
Key Matchup:
Devin Harris vs. Ty Lawson
At one point, Devin Harris was what Ty Lawson is now: a young point guard with a seemingly endless array of moves and unlimited potential. Things never really panned out for Harris. He’s put together a number of quailty seasons but has ye to experience any real success as a pro and besides being dealt for Jason Kidd, has had a career devoid of fanfare. Lawson’s success goes back to his UNC days when he played the entire NCAA tournament with turf toe and dominated. His scoring ability is unquestionable and look for Lawson to try to find a way to wear Harris out. Between Lawson and Andre Miller, expect Utah’s backcourt to be overmatched this entire game, and it begins with Lawson’s scoring.
If you like the odds set forth by Bookmaker, we suggest backing up a bet. Also consider our paid pick plans as we murder the books here at Maddux Sports once again!
