MLB Predictions: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays

The New York Yankees (39-36) and Toronto Blue Jays (43-35) will continue an American League East series Tuesday night at the Rogers Centre, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays

The Toronto Blue Jays have slowed down in mid-June

New York has scored just four runs in dropping three games in a row, including a 8-3 setback to Toronto as +112 road underdogs Monday, while going OVER the betting total for the fourth time in six affairs. The Yankees will be led offensively by outfielder Brett Gardner, who is 10 for 20 in his career against tonight’s opposing starter. New York is 15-12 versus division rivals during the 2014 campaign, with the OVER going 16-11 in that situation.

Yankees starting pitcher David Phelps (3-4, 3.86 ERA) will be making his 19th appearance of the season, as he looks to win his third outing in a row, which includes a 6-4 home victory over Toronto last week. The right-hander has recorded a 3.86 ERA as a starter and a 3.86 ERA as a reliever this season. In four career starts versus the Blue Jays, Phelps has compiled a 2-0 record and 2.67 ERA—holding them to a .205 opponents’ batting average in his last three meetings.

Toronto has won four of its last 10 games, with no edge in terms of the betting total in that span (5-5 Over/Under). The Blue Jays own a 1.5-game lead over the Orioles in the AL East standings, while they sit two places above the Bronx Bombers. In 44 games since May 6, Edwin Encarnacion leads the Majors with 22 home runs, while his 102 round trippers since 2012 is one ahead of Detroit Tigers first baseman Miguel Cabrera for most in the big leagues. Toronto is 7-6 as home favorites of -125 to -150 this season, with the OVER going 7-4-2 in that situation.

Blue Jays starting pitcher Mark Buehrle (10-4, 2.32 ERA) is looking to end a personal three-game losing streak, which includes a 7-3 setback to the Yankees in his last trip to the mound. The left-hander is a solid 5-2 with a 2.58 ERA in seven home appearances, with opposing hitters batting .282 against him. Buehrle has amassed a forgettable 1-11 record and 5.84 ERA in 17 career starts versus the Yankees.