Time: 11:30 AM EST, Saturday
Spread: AF -7.5
Total: 55.5
Betting Odds from Bookmaker
Navy hasn’t done much of anything this year when you throw at a 41-3 loss over the highly vaunted Virginia Military Institute. Jokes aside, they have been slaughtered by two top flight opponents in Notre Dame and Penn State, and they also lost to San Jose State, while failing to score. That’s why college football oddsmakers have set the line over a touchdown in favor of the Air Force.
The Midshipmen rank near the bottom of all major statistical categories, save their rushing game, which is only ranked high because of the way they tore through Virginia Military. They scored 24 more points in that lopsided and meaningless victory than they have scored the other three games combined.
That said, their rush game was on point in the victory, as both Noah Copeland and Gee Gee Greene ran for over 100 yards. If they are to cover the point spread against Air Force, it will be because the tandem does their thing on the ground.
Air Force is a slightly better team, but that isn’t saying much. They’ve managed to win against Idaho State and Colorado State, but lost badly to then No. 19 Michigan and they lost by a field goal to UNLV. Last week’s 42-21 victory over Colorado State was caused by Cody Getz’ dominance. He rushed for 222 yards and ranks among the nation’s leading rushers with 683 yards on the season. He’ll likely break 1,000, which will make him the first Falcons player to do so since 1996.
The game should be heavily ground oriented, but Air Force has better backs. Expect the Falcons to pull this out by at least a touchdown, as college football oddsmakers have predicted, and quite possibly by two TDs or more, as it just doesn’t seem that the Midshipmen have the talent to matchup against any legitimate opponents. While I’m hardly championing Air Force as a powerhouse, they should be able to take care of business just on the heels of Getz’ running attack, which has done well even against decent opponents.
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