Miami Dolphins vs. Denver Broncos
Sunday, 11/23/14, 4:25 PM EST
Opening Point Spread: Denver -8
Current Betting Line: Denver -7
Opening Total: 49
Current Total: 47.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker
Miami has gone 4-1 SUATS in its last five games, as it looks to build off a 22-9 victory over the Buffalo Bills as four-point home favorites on Nov. 13, while going UNDER the betting total for a fifth consecutive contest. The Dolphins have the potential to stop Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning on their powerful offense, which is important to consider when making your Week 12 NFL predictions, as they rank second in the league in surrendering just 208.0 passing yards per game. Miami is 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS as road underdogs of 3.5 to 7 points the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER going 2-1 in that situation.
The Dolphins also have the ability to keep the ball away from the Broncos, as they rank sixth in the league in gaining 127.3 yards per game on the ground, which can’t be ignored when looking over the NFL betting odds. Miami will need to establish a ground attack to provide time for third-year quarterback Ryan Tannehill, who has completed at least 70 percent of his pass attempts in five of 10 games this year. It’s important to point out that the franchise is 11-4-1 SU all-time in this AFC series.
Denver has alternated wins and losses over its last four contests, as it returns home after a three-game road trip, which ended by suffering a 22-7 defeat to the St. Louis Rams as eight-point favorites last week. Manning has put together a losing 5-7 SU record over the course of his career against the Dolphins, with many of those games coming during his time with the Indianapolis Colts—throwing for 18 touchdowns and 18 interceptions in that situation. Denver is 24-4 SU and 20-7-1 ATS as favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points since the start of the 2012 campaign.
The Broncos are certainly capable of bouncing back when playing in front of their home crowd, as only two of their nine regular-season losses during the Manning era have come in the Mile High City. On the defensive side of the ball, Denver will need to play at a high level inside of its 20-yard-line, as Miami leads the NFL with 49 red-zone possessions.
Sports bettors will likely back the Dolphins due to the underdog covering the number in four of the last five meetings in this series.
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