Pennsylvania Quakers AT Yale Bulldogs
Feb 19, 2011 at 7 PM EST
Opening Line: Yale -3
Current Line: Yale -3
Opening Total: 132
Current Total: 131.5
Opening Moneyline: Yale -155 / Penn +135
Current Moneyline: Yale -155 / Penn +135
Tonight’s game brings together two mediocre teams that are fighting to stay alive in the Ivy League Standings. Pennsylvania (10-12) is 4-4 in Ivy League Play and Yale (12-11) is 5-4 in Ivy League play. Yale has won 3 of their last 5 games, with wins coming over Dartmouth, Columbia, and Cornell, and the two losses were suffered against Ivy League powerhouses Harvard and Princeton. Pennsylvania had dropped four straight before winning 70-62 over Brown last night. Their four losses were to Harvard, Princeton, Cornell, and Columbia.
Both teams are close to even in point differential. Pennsylvania is -1.5, as they score 67.3 a game but give up 68.8. Yale is +1.2, scoring 67.8 a game and giving up 66.6. The combinative output of the teams’ scoring average is 135.1, making an ‘over’ a prudent bet.
Some betting trends:
Pennsylvania is 1-7 SU in their last 8 road games and they are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games at Yale.
Yale is 4-1 SU in their last 5 home games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 against Pennsylvania. Yale is 6-19 SU in their last 25 against Pennsylvania and the total has gone OVER in 6 of the last 9 games between the teams.
Pennsylvania is led by the quartet of Zach Rosen, Jack Eggleston, Tyler Bernardini, and Miles Cartwright. The four combine to average 52.2 points per game, 78% of the Quakers total scoring. Jack Eggleston, a 6’8″ senior forward, leads Pennsylvania in minutes played with 38.3 minutes per game, and is second in scoring with 14.4 points per game. Last game against Yale he went for 13 pionts and 8 boards. He has scored in double figures in all but 5 games, and Pennsylvania is 2-3 when he failes to reach double figures. Rosen, a 6’1″ junior point guard, averages a team best 14.5 points per game and a team best 5.4 assists per game. His best game came in a 1 point loss to Harvard when he scored 21 points and dished out 13 assists. Rosen had 16 points and 5 assists last game against Yale.
Yale is led by big man 6’10” junior forward Greg Mangano. Mangano puts up 16.0 points per game, grabs 9.7 rebounds per game, and blocks nearly 3 shots a game. His interior presence gives most teams immense trouble, as few teams can find someone to matchup with Mangano’s size. The problem for Yale is that there are not enough other players creating mismatches or playing significantly well enough for Yale to be much more than a middle of the road Ivy League ballclub. Mangano will have his way with Pennsylvania. The Quakers have no one capable of matching up with Magnano as their tallest rotation player is only 6’8″
Mangano is expected to be enough to overcome Pennsylvania. Moreover, Yale is at home where they are pretty good.
