Monta Ellis Over/Under 25.3 PPG
OVER. While some may argue that losing Nellie will negatively affect Monta’s stats, I am not one of those people. His scoring average has improved every year he has been in the league so far, and as long as he keeps logging heavy minutes (he played 41.4 mins a game last season), he will continue to put up great stats. Last year he averaged 25.5, and I think this year he jumps up to about 27 ppg. He is a pure scorer and one of the better ones at it.
Monta Ellis Over/Under 5.0 APG
Too close to call. He averaged 5.3 last year, and the pace may be changing this year. Moreover, will he look to shoot it more? Will he get more assists because of David Lee? I advise leaving this bet alone. If anything, I would bet Ellis hits right on 5.0 assists per game. The number really does sound about right.
David Lee Over/Under 20.0 PPG
Not touching this one either. He did average 20.3 last year, but until his role is defined within the Warriors offense, we won’t really know what he is capable of. We would need a lot more information before feeling comfortable betting on this one.
David Lee Over/Under 11.3 RPG
OVER. He was 11.7 each of the last two years, and there is no reason to expect his rebounding to be affected by switching teams. I think he might even crack 12 rebounds per game this year. Lee is a great rebounder and he is still young, so I have every reason to believe he will get more this year than last year, which would easily put him over 11.3 Lee has a knack for getting to the ball and will be one of the league’s top rebounders for the next 5-8 years.
Stephen Curry Over/Under 19.3 PPG
OVER. Curry played some incredible basketball in the second half of last year, and appears to be a favorite choice to lead the league in minutes played. He’s going to have every opportunity to put up 20+ ppg, and I think 19.3 is about the minimum he will average. I think his Davidson days will let him know he can chuck it up with the best of them, and put up huge numbers. While he is a point guard, he has a lot of shooting guard in him, and could easily become a shoot first point guard that leads a high scoring team.
Stephen Curry Over/Under 6.5 APG
UNDER. Curry has too many nights when he struggles to get assists. He has his moments of getting 10+, but he has far too many 3 assist or less nights to get his average up another .60 apg than last season. While I understand he will average slightly more minutes this year, since he’ll be playing big starters minutes from the get go, but I don’t see him playing enough of a distributive role this year.
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