Milwaukee Bucks at Boston Celtics
Time: 7 PM CT (ESPN)
Series Tied 1-1
Spread: BOS -1.5
Total: 219
Odds c/o 5dimes
The series is tied 1-1 as it shifts back to Boston for Game 3. The Boston Celtics won Game 1 112-90, but then the Milwaukee Bucks won Game 2 123-102. This series’ next close game will be its first one, but there are some meaningful trends that can be extracted from this series through two games. Game 3 sees the Celtics as 1.5-point favorites and the over/under is set at 219 points, a figure that is higher than the Game 1 total of 212 but higher than Game 2’s combined 225 points.
The Milwaukee Bucks do have something of a Big Three, and it showed in Game 2. Eric Bledsoe, Khris Middleton, and Giannis Antetokoumpo combined for 78 points as a trio, with a collective 24 of 45 shooting. The rest of the team scored just 45 points on 15 of 33 shooting. The Bucks shot 44.3 percent from the field and 20 of 47 (42 percent) from three while also holding a +8 advantage in rebounding.
Additionally, Milwaukee was able to limit its turnovers to just 11 while forcing 13 Celtics turnovers. The Bucks led by four at the half, but it used a devastating third quarter defense to outscore Boston 39-18 in the third quarter which set up a meaningless fourth quarter in which reserves saw plenty of court time. If not for that third quarter Celtics meltdown, the game would have been close, but will the blowout trend continue at the TD Garden tonight? Boston is just 1.5-point favorites but no game in this series has been close than 20 points yet.
In the Game 2 loss, Boston shot under 40 percent from the field and got just 17 points from its leading scorer Marcus Morris. Jayson Tatum has been nearly invisible and shot 2 of 10 en route to just five points in 25 minutes of play and a -18 point differential for his court time. The second-year forward from Duke came up huge in the 2018 postseason as a rookie, but he has mostly disappointed thus far despite Boston’s decent success in tying the second round with the No. 1 seeded Bucks. The Bucks have done a tremendous job on Tatum and Kyrie Irving, who shot just 4 of 18 in his own right and managed just 9 points and a -19 point differential for his 31 minutes.
ATS TRENDS (All Trends C/o Covers)
| Milwaukee |
- Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Friday games.
- Bucks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Bucks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Bucks are 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 2 days rest.
- Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Bucks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
- Bucks are 21-7-1 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
- Bucks are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 road games.
- Bucks are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Bucks are 37-17-3 ATS in their last 57 vs. Eastern Conference.
|
| Boston |
- Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Celtics are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Celtics are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Celtics are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.
- Celtics are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Central.
- Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.
- Celtics are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Conference Semifinals games.
- Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Celtics are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Celtics are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 home games.
- Celtics are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest.
|
OU TRENDS
| Milwaukee |
- Over is 5-0 in Bucks last 5 road games.
- Over is 6-0 in Bucks last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 10-1 in Bucks last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 9-2 in Bucks last 11 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.
- Over is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
- Over is 16-5 in Bucks last 21 games following a straight up win.
- Over is 9-3 in Bucks last 12 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 23-8 in Bucks last 31 games playing on 2 days rest.
- Over is 25-9 in Bucks last 34 vs. NBA Atlantic.
- Over is 15-6-1 in Bucks last 22 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Over is 7-3 in Bucks last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-3 in Bucks last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
|
| Boston |
- Under is 14-2-1 in Celtics last 17 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Over is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 games following a straight up loss.
- Over is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.
- Under is 8-2 in Celtics last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 9-3 in Celtics last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 13-5 in Celtics last 18 Friday games.
- Over is 20-8 in Celtics last 28 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
- Over is 10-4-1 in Celtics last 15 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Over is 5-2 in Celtics last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
|
HEAD TO HEAD
- Over is 16-5-1 in the last 22 meetings in Boston.
- Favorite is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
- Over is 15-6-1 in the last 22 meetings.
- Bucks are 4-11 ATS in the last 15 meetings.
- Bucks are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Boston.
|
