Gilbert Arenas Over/Under 18.5 pts vs POR
OVER. Before a real stinker of a game last night, in which Arenas only mustered 7 points, he had exceeded the 18.5 point line in his previous four games. Brandon Roy will be covering him but is on a gimpy knee and Arenas should be able to exploit that to his advantage. I would be surprised if Arenas doesn’t score at least 20 in this game.
Russell Westbrook Over/Under 34.5 Total Pts+assts vs TOR
OVER. Westbrook is averaging 30.2 total asts+pts on the year. Toronto is giving up 102.3 pts per game and Oklahoma City is averging 103.3 pts a game. In Westbrook’s last game against New Jersey he went bonkers, scoring 38 points and dishing out 15 assists in a Thunder win, and the game before that he went for 25 & 11 vs New Orleans, one of the better defensive teams in the league. He shouldn’t have much of a problem taking Calderon to school tonight, as Calderon is a notoriously poor defender and lacks any footspeed at all, much less enough to slow down the lightning quick Westbrook.
Andrea Bargnani Over/Under 27.0 Total Pts+Rebs vs OKC
UNDER. Bargnani is averaging 25.9 total this year, but will be hounded by Serge Ibaka for most if not all of the night, a good shot blocker and defender. Bargnani doesn’t rebound much, so it’s going to take mostly scoring to put him over 27, and Ibaka should slow him down some.
Brook Lopez Over/Under 30.5 Total Pts+Rebs vs CHA
OVER. Charlotte lacks any good centers and Lopez has gone nuts the last two games, averaging 32 ppg and 8 rpg, putting his total at 40 of course. While his rebounding has been poor this year, his scoring should make up the difference in this one and New Jersey will go to him plenty.
Gerald Wallace Over/Under 27.5 Pts+Rebs vs NJN
UNDER. Wallace is averaging 25.2 Pts+Rebs per game this year, and has failed to get over 27.5 in both of his last two games. Tonight should be a low scoring affair with the line set at 185 total, and that won’t help Wallace get the points needed to eclipse the 27.5 line. He should fall well under it, in fact.
Rodney Stuckey Over/Under 20.5 Pts+Assts vs ORL
OVER. Dwight Howard, Jameer Nelson, Mickael Pietrus, and J.J. Redick are all questionable to doubtful due to a stomach virus that has spread through the Orlando team like a plague. Dwight Howard was said to be puking his guts out yesterday and it was said to be very unlikely that he plays. Bodog of course failed to take this into account and Stuckey should be poised to have a big game.
Derrick Rose Over/Under 30.5 Pts+Assts vs BOS
UNDER. Rose has been having an absolutely dominating year, but Boston is one of the best, if not the best, defensive team in the league and Rondo is quick enough to keep Rose in front of him. While Rose is averaging 33.7 total Pts+Assts, I think he goes under tonight as the game should be fairly low scoring. In eight career games against Boston Rose is averaging 18.3 ppg and 3.8 apg, which obviously puts him well under the 30.5.
Danilo Galinari Over/Under 15.5 Pts vs NO
UNDER. 15.5 is exactly what Galinari is averaging on the year. Tonight, however, he will be checked by defensive stalwart Trevor Ariza, who recently held Durant below the line against Oklahoma City. Galinari will struggle to find good shots against Ariza and has no game off the dribble to speak of.
Chris Paul Over/under 29 Pts+Asts vs NYK
OVER. New York plays a fast paced game, and in prior seasons Paul was averaging and getting 20-10 games on a nightly basis. Expect that to be the case tonight as the Hornets will have to score in pace with New York. Paul should have a huge game, given that variable.
O.J. Mayo Over/Under 14 Pts vs MEM
UNDER. Mayo’s scoring has went down A LOT since making the move to coming off the bench. In his past three games he has scored 10, 11, and 13. There’s no real reason to expect that to change tonight.
Manu Ginobili Over/Under 21.5 pts vs MIN
OVER. Prior to last game’s 15 point performance, Ginobili had a stretch of five games all of which he scored 23 or more, including a 31 point game against Dallas. While Corey Brewer is a tough defender, Ginobili has been on fire and should have no problem getting a lot of open threes, which is what he will need to exceed the total.
Danny Granger Over/Under 24.5 Pts vs PHX
OVER. It’s always hard to go ‘under’ when a player is playing Phoenix. Granger is averaging 22.2 points a game this year and went for 24 last game against Phoenix last season. He’s due for a big game, his last having been two games against Sacramento when he busted 37 points. While Grant Hill is Phoenix’s best defender and will see a lot of time covering Granger, the high paced game should make it easy for Granger to score 30 tonight.
Roy Hibbert Over/Under 26.5 Pts+Rebs vs PHX
OVER. Just how in the hell is Channing Frye going to slow down Hibbert? He lacks the size and strength to muscle with him in the post. Hibbert is coming off a poor game and this is just the team he needs to see to rebound from it.
