Portland was a bit of a disappointment last year. Setting the bar high in light of how much talent they have, the Blazers struggled with injury problems, losing Oden, Przybilla, and Brandon Roy for stretches of the season. The bar still remains high in Portland, as their depth and talent makes them a favorite in the West. For season prop bets, the Blazers had 30/1 odds for a championship, and I advocated that as a value bet based on their talent level. While it seems highly unlikely that the Blazers actually do win a championship this year, it is also not out of the realm of possiblity. LaMarcus Aldridge and Brandon Roy are entering their respective primes, and Portland’s wealth of depth makes them a tough team to deal with.  Here are a look at some of the player prop bets available at Bodog for the Portland Trail Blazers.

Brandon Roy Over/Under 22.3 ppg

Under. 22.3 would be a career high for Roy and he actually regressed last season. While he is capable of scoring 22.3, there are enough weapons on the Blazers that he doesn’t have to. I expect Roy to maintain the role of a facilitator, too, meaning he will be equally focused on helping teammates. For him to average 22.3 it would require a small shift in his offensive philosophy, and I don’t see that happening…

Brandon Roy Over/Under 5.0 apg

Over. In his second year in the league, he averaged 5.5 apg, and two season ago he was at 5.0 Last year I consider a bit of an anomaly, and I expect Roy to play a large role in initiating the offense.

LaMarcus Aldridge Over/Under 18.3 ppg

Under. 18.3 would tie his career high from his second year in the league, and he seems to have reached his ceiling already, which is about 17 & 8. He’s already playing 37 minutes a game, so it’s not like we can expect an increase in playing time, either. This is an easy ‘under.’
LaMarcus Aldridge Over/Under 7.7 rpg

Too close to call. If you average the last three seasons, he averages exactly 7.7 There’s really no way to accurately determine whether this year will be a + or – deviation on that average, so I really don’t see this bet being a good one to make.

Andre Miller Over/Under 15.0 ppg

Under. His career average is 14.5 ppg, and he was under that last year at 14.0 ppg. He’s only getting older, and while he will occasionally have the huge game (like his 52 point outburst last season against Dallas), he’s not a scorer anyway. I think he actually dips below 14 this year, making it an easy ‘under.’

Andre Miller Over/Under 6.0 apg

Under. Last season he managed 5.4 and that was with Roy hurt for part of the year. Like his scoring, these numbers are going to continue to decrease as he ages. I doubt he manages 6 assists a game this year.

Marcus Camby Over/Under 9.3 ppg

Under. He hasn’t averaged more than 8 ppg since 2008-09 and last year he only averaged 7.0 This year, if, and it’s a big IF of course, Oden stays healthy, Camby’s minutes will sit in the 20s. He averaged 31.2 mins a game last year. With Oden that could easily dip to 26 minutes a game, meaning a further reduction in Camby’s stats, and his points of course. That makes this an easy ‘under.’

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