College Hoops Picks: Iowa State Cyclones at Baylor Bears

Iowa State Cyclones at Baylor Bears
Wednesday, February 20, 2013, 9:00 pm Eastern, TV: ESPNU
Ferrell Center – Waco, Texas
Opening Line: Baylor -4 1/2
Current Line: Baylor -4 1/2
Opening Total: 146
Current Total: 146 1/2
Opening Money Line: Baylor -200 / Iowa St +170
Current Money Line: Baylor -200 / Iowa St +170

Baylor is a 4.5 point favorite at home against Iowa St in a key Big 12 game.
Baylor is a 4.5 point favorite at home against Iowa St in a key Big 12 game.

The Iowa St Cyclones and Baylor Bears are tied with Oklahoma for third in the Big 12 conference. All three teams have 705 records, but are behind 10-3 Kansas St and 9-3 Kansas and Oklahoma St. Kansas plays at OSU Wednesday night. The 16-9 Baylor Bears host the 17-8 Iowa St Cyclones Wednesday night as well.

Iowa St leads the series 14-9 but Baylor is 8-1 in Waco. The home team has won 19 of 20 games in this series , and they have played 3 times at neutral sites. The only road win in this series came in 2000.  Iowa St won earlier this month in Ames 79-71.

Iowa St is coached by Fred Hoiberg. The Cyclones have losses to Cincinnati in Las Vegas, at UNLV, and at Iowa. Iowa St has conference losses at Kansas, Texas Tech, Oklahoma St, Kansas St, and Texas. The Cyclones have key wins over BYU, Drake, Yale, Texas, West Virginia, at TCU, Kansas St, Baylor, Oklahoma, and TCU Saturday 87-53. Iowa St is 10-10 ATS and the total is 13-3 this season.

Iowa St is outscoring teams 79-68. The Cyclones are #7 in scoring nationally. Iowa St is shooting 45.3% from the field and 36.9% from 3 point range. The Cyclones make 71.8% of their free throws. Iowa St averages 39.6 rebounds per game and give up 31 per game. The Cyclones are #14 in rebounding nationally. Iowa St opponents are shooting 41.7% from the field and 30.5% from 3 point range. The Cyclones average 16 assists, 7 steals, 3 blocks, and 14 turnovers per game.

Forward Will Clyburn averages 15.1 points, 7.2 rebounds, 2.2 assists, and 1 steals per game. Guard Tyrus McGee averages 12.8 points, 3.5 rebounds, 1.4 assists, and 1.3 steals per game. Forward Georges Niang averages 11.5 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 1.6 assists per game. Forward Melvin Ejim averages 10.6 points, 9.4 rebounds, 1.4 assists, and 1 steal. Guard Korie Lucious averages 9.6 points, 5.8 assists, 1.7 rebounds, and 1 steal a game. Chris Babb averages 9.5 points, 3.1 rebounds, 2.2 assists, and 1.2 steals per game. Percy Gibson, Anthony Booker, and Naz Long make up the rest of the rotation. Gibson leads the team in blocks with 0.8 per game.

Baylor is coached by Scott Drew. The Bears have losses to Colorado in a tournament in Charleston, home losses to College of Charleston, Northwestern, and Oklahoma and at Gonzaga, Kansas, Iowa St, Oklahoma St, and Kansas St Saturday 81-61. Baylor has key wins over Boston College and St. Joseph’s in Charleston, at Kentucky, Texas Tech, and TCU, and home wins against BYU, Texas, TCU, Oklahoma St, Texas Tech and West Virginia. Baylor is 10-10 ATS and the total is 10-9 this season.

Baylor is outscoring teams 75-64. They are #31 in scoring. The Bears are shooting 45.6% from the field and 34.9% from 3 point range. The Bears make 67.9% of their free throws. Baylor averages 38.6 rebounds per game and give up 31.5 per game. The Bears are #30 in rebounding. Baylor opponents are shooting 40.2% from the field and 29.9% from 3 point range. The Bears are #25 in 3 point defense nationally. The Bears average 15 assists, 7 steals, 4 blocks and 13 turnovers per game.

Baylor guard Pierre Jackson averages 18.4 points, 3.5 rebounds, 6.3 assists, and 1.6 steals per game. Center Isaiah Austin averages 13.6 points, 9.2 rebounds, 1 assist, and 1.4 blocks per game.  Forward Cory Jefferson averages 12.1 points, 8.2 rebounds, and 2 blocks per game. Guard Brady Heslip averages 9 points and 1.3 rebounds per game. Guard A.J. Walton averages  7.2 points, 3.6 rebounds, 3.8 assists, and 1.8 steals per game. Rico Gathers, Gary Franklin, and Deuce Bello make up the rest of the rotation.

Iowa St is 5-1 ATS against teams with winning records, 5-2 overall, 35-16-2 in Big 12 games, 3-8 in road games, and against teams with winning records. The Cyclones are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 against the Bears. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 in this series, and 4-0 in Waco.

Baylor is 8-2 ATS after a straight up loss, 9-4 after failing to cover,   and 2-8 in Wednesday games. The home team is 10-1 ATS in this series recently, and the favorite is 4-1.

Iowa St is fantastic at home where they have won 21 straight games, but they struggle on the road. Their only road win in the Big 12 came at last place TCU. Baylor wins this game at home.

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