Iowa Hawkeyes at Iowa State Cyclones
Jack Trice Stadium – Ames, Iowa
Saturday, September 14, 2013, 6:00 pm Eastern, TV: Fox Sports One
Opening Line: Iowa -3
Current Line: Iowa -2 1/2
Opening Total: 48 1/2
Current Total: 48
Opening Money Line: Iowa -125 / ISU +105
Current Money Line: Iowa -135 / ISU +115
The Iowa Hawkeyes travel to their in-state rivals the Iowa State Cyclones, in the 61st meeting between the Schools saturday in Ames. Iowa leads the series 39-21, including 16-8 in Ames. Iowa St has won the last 2 meetings, including 9-6 last year in Iowa City. The two teams play for the CyHawk Trophy.
Iowa, coached by Kirk Ferentz, is 1-1 this season. The Hawkeyes lost at home to Northern Illinois 30-27, and then beat Missouri St 28-14 also at home. The Hawkeyes are 0-2 ATS and both games have gone over the total. Iowa was a 26.5 point favorite against Missouri State and the total was 41.5. Iowa scored a touchdown in the first quarter on a six yard touchdown run from quarterback Jake Rudock to make it 7-0. That would be the halftime score as well. Iowa would score two third quarter touchdowns on runs from Mark Weisman. Missouri St scored 2 touchdowns in the first minute of the fourth quarter on a 27 yard touchdown pass, and a pick six 10 seconds later to make it 21-14. Rudock added another rushing touchdown with just under 10 minutes left. Missouri St drove to the Iowa 14, but the drive ended with an interception in the end zone by the Hawkeyes. Iowa had 489 total yards with 296 rushing yards. The Hawkeyes had 11 penalties for 100 yards.
Iowa is outscoring teams 27.5-22 this season. The Hawkeyes are averaging 474.5 total yards per game, including 250 rushing yards per game. On defense Iowa is allowing 317.5 yards per game, including 116.5 rushing yards. Iowa is -1 in turnovers with 3 takeaways. The Hawkeyes are 14/33 on third and fourth down conversions. Iowa is 7/9 scoring in the red zone with 6 touchdowns.
Rudock has completed 61.5% of his passes for 449 yards with a touchdown and 3 interceptions, along with 11 carries for 53 yards and 3 touchdowns. Weisman has 50 carries, 280 yards and 2 touchdowns. Damon Bullock has 27 carries for 116 yards, along with 3 catches for 14 yards. Receiver Kevonte Martin-Manley has 12 catches for 103 yards. Tight end C.J. Fiedorowicz has 5 catches for 46 yards and a touchdown. Wide receiver Maurice Fleming (knee) and running back Michael Malloy (illness) are both questionable, but neither has played this season.
Iowa State, coached by Paul Rhoads, is 0-1. The Cyclones took last week off after they were upset at home by Northern Iowa 28-20. The Cyclones were 9.5 point favorites at home against the Panthers and the total was 48.5. Northern Iowa scored first on a touchdown run from running back David Johnson. Iowa State tied it up late in the first on a 59 yard touchdown pass from quarterback Sam B. Richardson to receiver Justin Coleman. Johnson added a touchdown catch and another touchdown run to give Northern Iowa a 21-7 lead. Richardson would throw another touchdown pass to running back James White with just under 4 minutes to go in the half. In the third quarter Iowa state kicked two field goals to pull within 21-20 going into the fourth. Johnson caught another touchdown pass to put Northern Iowa up 28-20. Iowa State wouldn’t advance past midfield in any of their last 3 drives. The Cyclones had 410 total yards including 242 passing yards. Iowa State forced 2 turnovers and Northern Iowa had 457 total yards including 228 rushing yards.
Richardson completed 22 of 32 passes for 242 yards with 2 touchdowns, and no interceptions. Richarson was alos the leading rusher with 21 carries for 74 yards. Receiver Justin Coleman has 4 catches, 103 yards and a touchdown. White had 5 catches, 49 yards and a touchdown, along with 34 rushing yards.
Iowa is 2-5 ATS on grass, 3-9 after allowing 20 points or less, 3-13 in road games, 1-5 after failing to cover, 2-12 after a straight up win, 1-6 in non-conference games, and after gaining more than 450 total yards, 1-7 overall, 0-7 against teams with losing home records, 0-6 after allowing less than 100 rushing yards, 0-5 after allowing 170 passing yards or less, and against teams with losing records. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 between Iowa and Iowa State.
Iowa State is 13-3 ATS against Big Ten teams, 3-7 after a bye week, 1-3-1 on grass, 1-5-1 at home, 1-5 after allowing more than 450 total yards, and overall. The underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 in this series. The Cyclones are 12-3 ATS in the last 15 games against Iowa, including 5-2 in Ames.
Both of these teams have struggled on offense so far, and I don’t expect a lot of scoring in this game. Iowa is a slight favorite on the road, but it is hard to figure out either one of these teams. I like Iowa State to pull off the mild upset in a game similar to last year’s 9-6 game.
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