College Basketball Predictions: Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. North Carolina Tar Heels

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at North Carolina Tar Heels
Tuesday, 2/5/13, 7:00 PM EST, TV:  ESPNU
Opening Point Spread:  North Carolina -12
Current Betting Line:  North Carolina -12.5
Opening Total:  147.5
Current Total:  147.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The North Carolina Tar Heels are 5-0 ATS as home favorites of 9.5 to 12 points in their last five opportunities
The North Carolina Tar Heels are 5-0 ATS as home favorites of 9.5 to 12 points in their last five opportunities

Wake Forest has lost three games in a row, including an 86-60 setback to the Maryland Terrapins as 11-point road underdogs, while going OVER the total in its last four contests.  The Demon Deacons are 65-154 all-time against the Tar Heels, but have split the last 16 series meetings since the 2001-02 campaign.  The team has done a solid job of taking care of the basketball in the last 15 games, as it has won or tied the turnover battle 10 times in that span.  Wake Forest is 10-5 ATS as an underdog this season, which is important to consider when making your NCAA basketball picks Tuesday night.

The Demon Deacons have attempted 98 more free throws than their opponents combined this season, which can’t be ignored when looking over the college basketball odds page.  Wake Forest has seven freshmen on the roster and all contributing in the regular rotation, as the group has accounted for 60 percent of the team’s available minutes.  The program is 5-17 all-time at the Smith Center.

North Carolina will aim for its sixth win in its last seven games, as it comes off an exciting 72-60 overtime victory over the Virginia Tech Hokies as 14.5-point home favorites last Saturday, while going UNDER the total for the first time in four opportunities.  The Tar Heels have compiled an 8-4 record in this series under the direction of coach Roy Williams, which includes a 68-53 triumph as 16.5-point road favorites on Jan. 31 of last year.  North Carolina is 5-0 ATS as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points the last two-plus seasons.

The Tar Heels are third in the Atlantic Coast conference in averaging 7.1 3-point field goals made per game, as they’ve managed to knock down 36.2 percent of their attempts this year.  North Carolina is shooting more from beyond the arc than any other season under Williams, as it attempts 19.6 attempts from the 3-point area per game.  Offensively, the team is averaging 78.7 points per game, which has been made possible by shooting 44.5 percent from the field.

Sports bettors will likely back the Tar Heels due to their 8-1 ATS mark at home versus a team with a losing road record, while the Demon Deacons are 1-4 ATS in their last four road games with a total between 145 and 149.5.

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