Arizona State Sun Devils at Oregon State Beavers
Thursday, January 10, 2013, 11:30 pm Eastern, TV: Pac 12 Network
Gill Coliseum – Corvallis, Oregon
Opening Line: Oregon St -4 1/2
Current Line: Oregon St -5
Opening Total: 142
Current Total: 141 1/2
Opening Money Line: OSU -215 / ASU +185
Current Money Line: OSU -215 / ASU +185
The 13-2 Arizona St Sun Devils travel to the 10-4 Oregon St Beavers Thursday night. The Sun Devils are 2-0 in the Pac 12 with home wins over Utah 55-54 in overtime, and against Colorado 65-56 on Sunday. Oregon St is 0-1 in conference with a home loss to Oregon Sunday night 79-66.
The series is tied at 39-39 between Oregon St and Arizona St, but Oregon St is 22-13 in Corvallis. Arizona St has won 8 of the last 9 games in the series, including 76-66 last season in Tempe in the only meeting between the schools. This is the only scheduled meeting between the teams unless they meet in the Pac 12 tournament.
Arizona St is coached by Herb Sendek. The Sun Devils have losses to Creighton in a tournament in Las Vegas, and home to DePaul. The Sun Devils have won 5 straight games since the DePaul loss. ASU has key wins over Arkansas in Las Vegas, Cornell, and Texas Tech. Arizona St is 6-4 ATS and the total is 0-2 this season.
Arizona St is outscoring teams 73-63 this season. The Sun Devils are shooting 46.2% from the field and 33.8% from 3 point range. Arizona St is #68 in scoring and #54 in field goal percentage. ASU makes 62.5% of their free throws. ASU is #317 in the country in free throw percentage. The Sun Devils average 38.2 rebounds per games and gives up 33.6. ASU opponents are shooting 38.3% from the field and 32% from 3 point range. Arziona St is #28 in opponents’ field goal percentage. The Sun Devils average 15 assists, 7 steals, 8 blocks, and 13 turnovers a game.
Forward Jahii Carson averages 16.7 points, 3.1 rebounds, and 5.4 assists and 1.1 steals per game. Guard-forward Carrick Felix averages 15.1 points, 7.9 rebounds, 2 assists, 1.7 steals, and 1.5 blocks per game. Center Jordan Bachynski has 10.5 points, 7.1 rebounds, and 4.6 blocks a game. Guard Evan Gordon averages 9.9 points, 3.1 rebounds, 2.4 assists, and 1.5 steals per game. Forward Jonathan Gilling averages 9.6 points, 7.1 rebounds, 2.7 assists, and 1.2 steals per game. Chris Colvin and Eric Jacobsen will also see significant minutes in the rotation. Guard Calaen Robinson is out for the season for undisclosed reasons.
Oregon St is coached by Craig Robinson. The Beavers have losses to Alabama in New York City, to Kansas in Kansas City, and at home to Towson in overtime last week. Oregon St has key wins over New Mexico St, Purdue in New York, and San Diego in Las Vegas. Oregon St is 4-6 ATS and all five games with a posted total have gone under.
Oregon St is outscoring teams 77-69 this season. The Beavers are #38 in scoring nationally. Oregon St is shooting 46.9% from the field and 39.5% from 3 point range. The Beavers are #39 in field goal percentage and #18 in 3 point shooting. Oregon St makes 65.7% of their free throws. The Beavers are #39 in rebounding with 39.9 per game, and OSU allows 32.1 to opponents. Oregon St opponents are shooting 41.3% from the field and 30.3% from 3 point range. The Beavers are averaging 15 assists, 7 steals, 5 blocks, and 14 steals per game.
Guard Roberto Nelson averages 16 points, 3.2 rebounds, 3.1 assists, and 1.4 steals per game. Forward Devon Collier averages 14.5 points, 6.1 rebounds, 1.8 assists, 1.1 steals, and 1.1 blocks per game. Ahmad Starks averages 13 points, 2.5 rebounds, 1.9 assists, and 1 steal a game. Joe Burton averages 11.1 points, 6.1 rebounds, 3.1 assists, and 1.1 steals per game. Center Angus Brandt is out for the season with a knee injury. He averaged 11.3 points, 8.5 rebounds, 1.8 assists, 1.3 blocks, and 1 steal a game. Eric Moreland averages 10.8 points, 11.1 rebounds, 1.7 assists, and 2.7 blocks per game. Olaf Schaftenaar, Jarmal Reid, and Challe Barton make up the rest of the rotation. Forward Daniel Gomis is also out for the season with a leg injury. He has not played in a game this season.
Arizona St is 5-2 ATS overall, 9-22 after a straight up win, 7-18-1 after a cover, 8-21 in road games, 5-14-2 in Thursday games, 3-13 in road games against teams with winning home records, and 1-5 in road games after 3 or more straight home games. The Sun Devils are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 against the Beavers. Four of the last five in the series have gone over the total.
Oregon St is 4-1 ATS after failing to cover, 5-2 after a double digit home loss, 2-5 after a straight up loss, and 3-9 against Pac 12 teams, 1-5 in Thursday games, 0-5 at home, and overall. The favorite is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 in this series.
These two teams are evenly matched. I think Arizona St might be slightly better, but Corvallis is a long trip from Tempe and is a very tough place to play. Both these teams are comfortable playing in the 70’s so it could be an up-temp affair. I like Oregon St to win a close game.
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