2016 ACC Tournament – First Round
#13 Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs #12 North Carolina State Wolfpack
Verizon Center – Washington, DC
Tuesday, March 8, 2016, 12:00 pm Eastern, TV: ESPN2
Opening Line: NC State -3 1/2
Current Line: NC State -5
Opening Total: 155 1/2
Current Total: 151 1/2
Opening Money Line: NC State -205 / Wake Forest +175
Current Money Line: NC State -205 / Wake Forest +175
The 15-16 North Carolina State Wolfpack take on the 11-19 Wake Forest Demon Deacons in the first round of the ACC tournament Tuesday in Washington, DC. The Wolfpack are the #12 seed with a 5-13 conference record and the Demon Deacons are the #13 seed at 2-16. The winner will play the #5 seed Duke Blue Devils in the second round Wednesday.
North Carolina State leads the series 140-103 against Wake Forest, including 8-4 in the ACC Tournament. The home team has won the last nine games in this series. Wake Forest won 77-74 in Winston-Salem January 10 and NC State returned the favor 99-88 in Raleigh February 13. This is the first ACC Tournament meeting since 2006 when the Demon Deacons won in the quarterfinals against the Wolfpack.
Wake Forest is coached by Danny Manning. The Demon Deacons have neutral site wins over Indiana and UCLA in the Maui Invitational. Wake Forest has road wins over Bucknell, Rutgers and LSU, plus home wins over Arkansas, NC State and Boston College. The Demon Deacons have a neutral site loss to Vanderbilt in Maui, plus road losses at Louisville, Virginia Tech, North Carolina, Miami, Notre Dame, Georgia Tech, Pittsburgh and Duke 79-71 March 1. Wake Forest has home losses to Richmond, Xavier, Duke, Syracuse, Virginia, Clemson, Florida State, Notre Dame and Virginia Tech. Wake Forest has lost 14 of their last 15 games. The Demon Deacons are 12-15-1 ATS and the total is 12-16 this season. Wake Forest was a 16 point underdog against Duke and the total was 154.5.
North Carolina State is coached by Mark Gottfried. The Wolfpack have home losses to William & Mary, Michigan, Louisville, Florida State, Duke, Georgia Tech, and North Carolina. NC State has a neutral site loss to Arizona State in Brooklyn, plus road losses at Virginia Tech, Wake Forest, North Carolina, Florida State, Duke, Virginia, Syracuse and Notre Dame 89-75 last Saturday. The Wolfpack have lost 3 of the last 4 games. NC State has a neutral site win over LSU in Brooklyn, plus home wins over South Alabama, IUPUI, Winthrop, Bucknell, Northeastern, Miami, Wake Forest, Clemson and Boston College. The Wolfpack have road wins at South Florida, Missouri, and Pittsburgh. NC State is 13-15 ATS and the total is 17-11 this season. The Wolfpack were 9 point underdogs at Notre Dame and the total was 148.
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Wake Forest is being outscored 79-74 this season. The Demon Deacons are #326 in points allowed nationally. Wake is shooting 44.2% from the field and 31.5% from 3 point range. The Deacons make 66% of their free throws. Opponents are shooting 44.1% from the field and 33% from 3 point range. Wake Forest averages 38 rebounds per game and opponents average 33.8 per game. The Deacons average 13.9 assists, 14.5 turnovers, 5.8 steals and 4.4 blocks per game. Opponents average 12.7 assists, 10.9 turnovers, 8.1 steals and 3.8 blocks per game.
Devin Thomas averages 15.7 points, 10.1 rebounds, 2.4 assists, and 1.5 blocks per game. Bryant Crawford averages 13.6 points, 3 rebounds, 4.4 assists and 1.6 steals per game. Konstaninos Mitoglou averages 9.4 points and 5.3 rebounds per game. Codi Miller-McIntyre averages 9.2 points, 4.3 rebounds and 4 assists per game. Seven other players get significant minutes in the rotation.
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NC State is outscoring teams 75-74 this season. The Wolfpack are shooting 43% from the field and 34.1% from 3 point range. NC State makes 70% of their free throws. Opponents are shooting 43.7% from the field and 37.3% from 3 point range. The Wolfpack average 39.8 rebounds per game and opponents average 32.1 per game. NC State is #35 in rebounding nationally. The Wolfpack average 11.5 assists, 11.2 turnovers, 4.5 steals and 4.3 blocks. Opponents average 13.8 assists, 10.3 turnovers, 6.2 steals and 4 blocks per game.
Anthony Barber averages 23.4 points, 4.6 rebounds, and 4.3 assists per game. Abdul-Malik Abu averages 12.9 points, 8.7 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game. Maverick Rowan averages 12.5 points and 3.1 rebounds. Caleb Martin averages 11.5 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1.4 blocks per game. Cody Martin, BeeJay Anya and Lennard Freeman will also get time in the rotation. Terry Henderson is out indefinitely with an ankle injury.
Wake Forest is 4-1 ATS in Tuesday games, 17-36 in neutral site games, 3-13-1 after a cover, and 1-5 against teams with losing records. The last five games in this series have gone over the total.
North Carolina State is 20-8-1 ATS after a straight up loss, 19-9-1 in neutral site games, 21-10-1 after failing to cover, 0-4 overall and against ACC teams. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in this series recently. The Wolfpack are 21-8 ATS against the Demon Deacons recently. , ACC
Neither one of these teams are very good, which is why they playing on Tuesday afternoon in the ACC Tournament. North Carolina State is slightly better though and I like the Wolfpack to pull away late.
