Oregon State Beavers at No. 10 Oregon Ducks
Saturday, 11/26/11, 3:30 PM EST, TV: ABC
Opening Point Spread: Oregon -28
Current Betting Line: Oregon -27.5
Opening Total: 63
Current Total: 64
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker
Oregon State has the opportunity of sweeping the Pacific Northwest this season for the first time since 2004, already beating Washington and Washington State earlier in the 2011 campaign. “In every phase of the game we’re going to have to play at a tremendously high level to compete,” stated Beavers coach Mike Riley. The Civil War is the seventh-most contested rivalry in the nation and the program will be looking for its first victory in the series since capturing a 38-31 overtime win in 2007 as one-point road underdogs. Oregon State is 5-5 ATS in November the last two-plus years.
The Beavers will need to create turnovers to remain competitive Saturday, something that the team has done a great job of, converting 21 opponent’s miscues into 67 points. Over the last 98 games, Oregon State is 36-8 when committing fewer turnovers than its opponent, while going 9-28 when committing more. Offensively, quarterback Sean Mannion leads a potent aerial attack, with the team ranking 21st in the nation in averaging 285.6 passing yards per game.
Oregon was handed a 38-35 loss by the USC Trojans last weekend as 16.5-point home favorites, ending any chance of the program reaching the BCS Championship Game for the second consecutive year. “When you lose a game you can’t wait to play the next one,” stated Ducks junior running back LaMichael James. “Practice has been going really well.” The Ducks are 13-7-1 versus the Beavers when playing host inside Autzen Stadium, including wins in seven of the past eight meetings. Oregon is 3-0 ATS this year as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points, with the ‘under’ cashing in two of those games.
The Ducks offense has scored 502 points on the season, going over the 500-point mark for the second straight year and third time overall. Oregon head coach Chip Kelly is definitely a candidate to bounce back, dropping his first game against an opponent that had only a week to prepare. The program will be focused in registering a victory in this regular-season finale, which would clinch the Pac-12 Conference North Division and earn the team a spot in the inaugural championship game.
Bettors will likely back the Ducks due to their 4-0 ATS mark following a spread loss, while the Beavers are 1-4 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 or more points.
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