Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers
Monday, 11/19/12, 8:30 PM EST, TV: ESPN
Opening Point Spread: San Francisco -6.5
Current Betting Line: San Francisco -7
Opening Total: 37.5
Current Total: 37
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker
Chicago will attempt to bounce back from a 13-6 loss to the Houston Texans as one-point home favorites, while going UNDER the total for the first time in three contests. The Bears will play on ESPN’s Monday Night Football without the services of starting quarterback Jay Cutler, who suffered a head injury last week. Former Washington Redskins and Oakland Raiders signal-caller Jason Campbell will get the nod. “He’s comfortable in the pocket, comfortable calling the plays,” stated Raiders center Roberto Garza. Chicago is 7-2 ATS in November the last two-plus seasons, something to consider when making your NFL picks against the spread.
The Bears lost five straight games and fell out of playoff contention last year without a quality backup behind Cutler, which places a lot of pressure on Campbell. He has completed 51 percent of his passes for 239 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions in two career meetings against Monday’s opponent. Chicago’s defense will need to continue creating opportunities, as it leads the NFL with 30 turnovers and 19 interceptions.
San Francisco ended up in a 24-24 tie with the St. Louis Rams in Week 10, as it was out-gained by a 117-yard margin, while going OVER the total for the first time in four games. The 49ers are uncertain about the status of their starting quarterback, with Alex Smith currently listed as probable with concussion symptoms. Running back Frank Gore could play a major role in the offensive game plan, considering he’s gained 215 yards in the last two meetings in this NFC series. San Francisco is 5-7 ATS off a division game the last two-plus seasons, which could provide value in the pro football betting odds in playing the underdog.
The 49ers may increase the amount of blitzes it sends defensively, as they rank 24th in the NFL in sacks per play this season. San Francisco ranks third in the league in allowing just 292.1 yards per game, including just 196.8 through the air. In a game that figures to be hard-hitting and low scoring, it’s important to note that the 49ers lead the league with 52 runs of 10 or more yards.
Sports bettors will likely back the 49ers due to their 4-0 ATS run on Monday night, while the Bears are 0-2 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite.
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